The UTSA Roadrunners and 24th-ranked San Diego State Aztecs will square off for the Tropical Smoothie Cafe Frisco Bowl on Tuesday night at Toyota Stadium in Frisco, Texas.
The Roadrunners are 12-1 and are coming off a 49-41 home win over the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers. Senior quarterback Frank Harris went 19-of-28 for 218 yards with two touchdowns.
The Aztecs are 11-2 this season and are coming off a 46-13 home loss to the Utah State Aggies. Senior quarterback Jordon Brookshire finished 11-of-23 for 117 yards.
UTSA at San Diego State Betting Analysis
On the UTSA Roadrunners side
Junior running back Sincere McCormick has been carrying the offensive load for the UTSA Roadrunners this season as he has 298 rushing attempts for 1,479 yards (five yards per carry) with 15 rushing touchdowns as well as 22 receptions for 184 yards (8.4 yards per catch).
In his last game against Western Kentucky, McCormick finished with 36 carries for 204 yards (5.7 yards per rushing attempt) with three rushing touchdowns and three catches for 35 yards (11.7 yards per reception).
The UTSA Roadrunners have been playing well on the defensive side of the ball as they are giving up 23.6 points per game. In their previous game against the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers, UTSA allowed 41 points on 568 total yards of offense (577 passing, -9 rushing).
The Roadrunners contained the running game as they allowed -0.6 yards per carry. UTSA also forced three turnovers in this game (one fumble recovery, two interceptions).
On the San Diego State Aztecs side
The San Diego State Aztecs have been depending on senior running back Greg Bell to get the offense going as he has 220 carries for 999 yards (4.5 yards per attempt) with eight rushing touchdowns and four catches for five yards (1.3 yards per reception). In his last game against Utah State, Bell finished with 11 rushing attempts for 50 yards (4.5 yards per carry).
The defense of the San Diego State Aztecs has been dominant this season as they are allowing 19.5 points per game. In their previous game against the Utah State Aggies, San Diego State gave up 46 points on 383 total yards of offense (318 passing, 65 rushing).
The Aggies were able to go 8-of-16 on third down and converted both of their fourth-down tries. The Aztecs were good against the run as they allowed 2.3 yards per rushing attempt.
Roadrunners at Aztecs Prediction
According to the top sportsbooks across the country, the UTSA Roadrunners are favored over the San Diego State Aztecs by a singular point.
The Roadrunners are 9-4 against the spread this season, while the Aztecs are 6-6-1 against the spread. UTSA is the better offense as they are averaging 35.4 points in their previous five games, while San Diego State is scoring 21.6 points in their last five games.
Frank Harris has also thrown multiple touchdown passes in eight of the last nine games he was under center for, and the only game he did not, he threw 14 pass attempts.
All in all, go with the UTSA Roadrunners to cover the spread and be crowned the Tropical Smoothie Cafe Frisco Bowl Champions.