An underrated one of the upcoming boxing fights this week is this Wednesday night title fight between women’s middleweights Femke Hermans and Mary Spencer in a rematch after Hermans defeated Spencer at the end of last year.
Hermans vs. SpencerPicks
Mary Spencer to get the job done.
Read further for the Hermans vs Spencer betting analysis and prediction ahead of placing your bets this week.
Femke Hermans vs. Mary Spencer Information
Femke Hermans vs Mary Spencer
Location of the fight: Montreal Casino, Montreal, Canada.
Date and Time: Saturday, October 11. 11:00 PM ET.
How to Watch: ESPN+
Last Fight Results
- Hermans is coming off defending her IBO super welterweight title against Maria Lindberg with a first-round TKO win in June.
- Spencer’s last bout was her loss to Hermans last December via unanimous decision.
Femke Hermans vs. Mary Spencer Betting Analysis
Femke Hermans
Hermans is a Belgian boxer with a professional record of 16-4, with seven wins coming by way of KO. She became the second Belgian woman to hold a major world title in 2018 when she won the WBO super-middleweight belt.
She has fought in seven world title fights going into this week, which will be her 8th. Hermans is listed at 5’8” with no reach measurements listed anywhere, and she fights out of the orthodox stance.
Mary Spencer
Spencer is a Canadian boxer with a professional record of 7-1. With five wins coming by KO so far in her short career.
The 38-year-old longtime boxer made a name for herself in the amateur ranks–winning three gold medals representing Canada at the world championships from 2005-2010 and a gold medal at the Pan-Am Games in 2011 while achieving a total amateur record of 115-9.
She’s a physically imposing athlete in the middleweight division, standing at 5’11” with no reach listed, but you can assume it’s over 72”.
Hermans vs. Spencer Betting Preview
The Hermans vs Spencer betting analysis isn’t the only thing that can give you a good sense of who to bet on this week. We have to take a closer look at the betting lines and watch a lot of film on both women.
According to the boxing odds for this bout, Hermans is coming in as a slight -145 betting favorite over the +115 Spencer in this rematch. Interestingly, Hermans is +700 to win by KO, and Spencer is more likely to do the same at +350. The moneyline of both women is valuable enough to not play around too much with the minimal prop bets available.
To make the best boxing picks for this fight, we looked over the first meeting between these two from just around ten months ago. Hermans fought a beautiful fight by moving her feet and controlling the power shots from Spencer.
Spencer is the bigger and stronger athlete with a lot more power, but she tried to bully her way to a win, and that isn’t going to work against someone as focused and fundamentally sound as Hermans.
Femke Hermans vs. Mary Spencer Betting Prediction
This fight is a very close and exciting matchup at a new weight class from their first meeting. The Hermans vs Spencer betting analysis and betting preview have made it easier to decide who to bet on. But this fight is still pretty much a 50/50 coin flip.
We are taking the legendary Canadian to get the job done in front of her home crowd and get the title, as she will still be the bigger and stronger fighter, but now she has had almost a year to make adjustments.
This will be a much more cerebral performance from the former world-class amateur boxer, and Spencer will get the job done. She will set up a big shot that will really change the fight early on.
- Pick: Mary Spencer to get the job done.
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