Hasim Rahman vs. Greg Hardy Best Bets

Misfits Boxing 3 event is coming this weekend, with the headliner, Hasim Rahman Jr. (12-1), going up against Greg Hardy (1-0) in a 4-round heavyweight boxing match. Check the Rahman vs Hardy betting predictions.

The originally scheduled bout was between Rahman and retired MMA legend Vitor Belfort, but Belfort had to pull out due to illness. 

Hasim Rahman vs. Greg Hardy

  • Venue and Location: Moody Theater, Austin Texas
  • Date: November 19, 2022
  • How to Watch: DAZN

Last Fight Records

  • Rahman is coming off a KO loss to McKenzie Morrison in April. 
  • Greg Hardy made his boxing debut last month when he KO’d Michael Cook.

Rahman vs Hardy Betting Analysis 

This is another strange boxing matchup in an event full of part-time boxers. This fight will be very exciting for the crowd that enjoys these events. 

Hardy Betting Analysis

Hardy weighed in at 324 lbs. That is exactly 100 lbs more than Rahman, who weighed 224 lbs. This is a big factor when trying to decide a Rahman vs Hardy betting pick because Hardy could use that weight advantage very well. 

With this fight only four rounds, Hardy doesn’t have to worry about gassing out as much. He will be very out of shape, but he might be okay enough to let his hands go for at least a round or 2. 

Hardy will be a lot bigger than Rahman in the ring this weekend. He will not be as mobile as the more experienced boxer, but that weight and power could benefit Hardy if he uses it right. 

Rahman Betting Analysis

Rahman has 6 KO victories over his 13-fight pro career. This is not a particularly impressive number for a heavyweight prospect facing the talent level he has early on in his career.

After breaking down his film and boxing stats, Rahman seems to not be on a very high level. 

It is tough to say that Rahman will have the speed advantage. He seems to throw his hands in such a nonchalant way with a very low guard that leaves him wide open for heavy counters. 

Be prepared for Hardy to have very low-level boxing skills and throw long, looping power hooks to try to catch Rahman. This is one of those fights that is tough to make boxing picks because you don’t know if it will even look like a real boxing match.

Odds Breakdown 

There aren’t any major sportsbooks with this fight listed. That is probably due to the fact of the last-minute nature of scheduling it and that it is a very gimmicky matchup. 

Rahman vs Hardy betting is not something sportsbooks want to touch in a small event like Misfit Boxing 3. Keep an eye out for the lines to open up in your book.

The prediction of those boxing odds would be Rahman being a heavy-betting favorite over Hardy. Probably somewhere around -500. 

Rahman vs. Hardy Betting Pick and Prediction

Rahman vs Hardy betting picks are tough to make because of the odd fight this is. Hardy is so out of shape and has practically zero boxing experience compared to Rahman. Rahman has been around the sport since he was born, with his dad being a legendary fighter.

Rahman is supposed to win this fight, and he should win this fight. He will be in better shape and should have better skills than Hardy. 

After watching Rahman’s fights, though, he doesn’t look very skilled. Jake Paul was going to be a very tough fight for him before that matchup fell through.

Who to Bet On?

I predict that Rahman will be able to throw out more volume and move around the ring, creating angles that Hardy is just not used to. I can even see Hardy being overly tired by the 4th round and getting stopped by a flurry of punches. 

Betting on boxing like this is so difficult because this is more of a gimmick than a real boxing match. Don’t put your money on a fight like this unless you are in the position to do so. 

Pick 1: Rahman to win

Pick 2: Rahman to win via TKO/KO

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