WBO Super Lightweight Analysis
Teofimo Lopez puts his WBO Super Lightweight title on the line at James L. Knight Center in Miami on Saturday against Steve Claggett. We have our Lopez vs Claggett prediction for the big fight, where Lopez is the -900 favorite with betting markets.
It’s hard to imagine the American suffering a defeat against the Canadian.
Parlay Picks & Fight Details
Lopez vs Claggett
Location: James L. Knight Center, Miami, FL
Date & Time: Saturday, June 29, 8:00pm
How to watch: ESPN+
Lopez vs Claggett Picks

- Pick: Teofimo Lopez By Decision +145.
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Lopez vs Claggett Betting Analysis
1Moneyline:
Teofimo Lopez -1000
Steve Claggett +600
2Total:
10½
Most overwhelming favorites with boxing tonight odds open at -900, and we’re not surprised to see Lopez at the quote. The champion is the best fighter in this matchup, and we could have made a case for him to be around -1400 against Claggett.
We can’t see much money come for the underdog. Canadian fighters don’t often attract much betting support, and with seven losses on his record, that’s unlikely to draw bettors in.
Lopez vs Claggett Betting Preview & Updates
Lopez has only one loss on his record, so it’s hard to make a case against the -900 favorite. Our boxing bets tonight can’t leave him out of selections. But bettors will want better odds than -900 to include in boxing picks.
The total rounds line for the 12-round fight is 10.5. Lopez isn’t a knockout artist, despite having 13 of his 20 wins by KO. He will be happy to see out a decision victory. so that’s where bettors can find better value with our Lopez vs Claggett prediction. Lopez to win by decision pays +145. A win by knockout pays -145, so there is much better value with the decision victory.
Lopez vs Claggett Recent Results
Teofimo Lopez:
- February 8, 2024: Win vs Jamaine Ortiz
- June 10, 2023: Win vs Josh Taylor
- December 10, 2022: Win vs Sandor Martin
Steve Claggett:
- January 25, 2024: Win vs Marcos Barraza
- November 14, 2023: Win vs Miguel Madueno
- September 8, 2013: Win vs Carlos Sanchez
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Lopez Analysis: Battling Through Adversity
It hasn’t been an easy road for Lopez, who lost to George Kambosos Jr in 2022. The 26-year-old hasn’t lost since, but his recent fights haven’t been easy with close decisions including a split over Sandor Martin. He got past the Spaniard but was expected to win easily. It’s a cause for concern.
Judges had him 115-113, 115-113, 117-111 across the board in his next two fights, so the fights were also closer than expected. Beating Ortiz by decision is still a good form guide, and he should be confident of beating someone with seven losses on his record.
- “My thoughts on Steve Claggett is a Rocky Balboa movie. I’m Apollo Creed, and that’s what I think of it,” Lopez said.
- “I don’t overlook him. He’s going to bring the best out of me in this fight. I pick those types of fighters to bring the best out of me. I want to see what more I can do.”
Claggett Analysis: Looking to KO Lopez
Claggett might be the despised underdog at +600, but he has 26 wins by knockout on his record. He is 38-7-2, so the experience can’t be overlooked, and he has power in his hands.
The 35-year-old Canadian has been facing much lower-level opponents, which is the main caveat. However, he scored a decision over Miguel Madueno for the WBO International title schedule.
He’s ranked the top Canadian fighter in the division and eighth overall. Rising in the ranks, this is likely his only and last opportunity to fight for a title.
- “I feel very good. I feel like this fight will be the culmination of all the hard work and years I have put into boxing. I feel very good both physically and mentally right now. I feel like everything is coming together for me,” Claggett told MaxBoxing.
He’s a confident fighter, but the occasion might get the better of him. Our Lopez vs Claggett prediction sees him start slowly as he adjusts to the bright lights of Miami Beach, and by then, he could be down a couple of rounds.
Lopez vs Claggett Betting Prediction
We’re not betting against Lopez, who has fought some of the best boxers in the lightweight division, He is the proven fighter at the top level, and although we give Claggett plenty of respect, he’s not on the same level. We see the fight going the distance as Lopez has found it tough to put fighters away. He’ll be happy with a decision win, and so will we. Bet Lopez to win by decision at +145.
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