On the undercard of the massive Haney-Lomachenko event this weekend in Las Vegas, we have a great rematch happening at the super featherweight division. Oscar Valdez (30-1) will be meeting Adam Lopez (16-4) again in the ring after Valdez scored a TKO victory in their last meeting in 2019.
Read further for the Valdez vs Lopez betting analysis and prediction before making your boxing picks for this weekend’s fights.
Valdez vs. Lopez Information
Oscar Valdez vs Adam Lopez
Location of the fight: MGM Grand, Las Vegas, NV.
Date and Time: Saturday, May 20. 9:00 PM ET.
How to Watch: ESPN+
Last Fight Record
Valdez is making his first ring walk in over a year, coming back from a unanimous decision loss to Shakur Stevenson in April of 2022.
Lopez is also coming off a loss. He dropped a unanimous decision to Abraham Nova in January.
Valdez vs. Lopez Betting Analysis
Oscar Valdez
Valdez is a 30-1 Mexican boxer that just suffered his first defeat in his last bout. He has a lot of power for his weight class, with a total of 23 KOs in his professional career. He also has won the WBO featherweight title, and WBC super featherweight title, and now is looking to work his way back.
The question mark for this fight is how healthy Valdez is. He has a history of withdrawing from fights due to injury over the last couple of years. Has Father Time caught up to him? Has he put his body through too much to continue to compete with the world-class talent at his weight?
Adam Lopez
Lopez is not at the same world-class level as his opponent this weekend but has the momentum to build off of since their last meeting. In the first fight between these two, Lopez enjoyed a lot of success with power punches and counters.
The stoppage in their first bout was kind of awkward, and some will say it was an early stoppage, especially with how the scorecards looked and Lopez having a chance to win the fight on points. Lopez has the size advantage over Valdez and will surely be looking to use that to his advantage in this heavier-weight class.
Updates
No injuries have been reported to the NSAC.
Valdez vs. Lopez Betting Preview
After looking at Valdez vs Lopez betting lines ahead of this weekend’s event, it is tough to find the best bet possibility.
Moneyline: Valdez is a massive -1100 betting favorite over the +600 Lopez.
Over/Under: The over/under is set at 8.5 rounds.
The boxing odds are basically saying that the first meeting was too long ago and now Valdez is levels above Lopez.
The most interesting line is the fight going to a decision at +175. This means the oddsmakers have a finish being a greater possibility than the judges having to get involved.
Valdez vs. Lopez Betting Prediction
After breaking down the film of their first bout, and the recent performances of both men, the final Valdez vs Lopez betting prediction is pretty simple to make.
You will not be able to justify putting any real money on Lopez. Valdez is 30-1 and a former world champion for a reason. He has more weapons, more creativity, and just is an all-around better boxer.
Lopez has a ton of confidence, and that is what he needs to win this one. It’s a major possibility that Lopez will look to put too much pressure early on, and as the rounds come and go, he will gas himself out.
Valdez will start getting to his body early and finish the fight in the later rounds. The over/under 8.5 is such a tough total to bet on, so we are skipping that bet.
- Valdez winning by TKO/KO is -160 and that is the best value you’re going to get for this matchup.
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