Saturday night will be a huge welterweight fight inside of Dickies Arena in Fort Worth, Texas, as Vergil Ortiz Jr and Michael McKinson square off.
This fight was originally scheduled back in March but was pulled during fight week as Ortiz was diagnosed with rhabdomyolysis.
This almost feels like a number-one contender fight as the winner should be in contention for a welterweight championship fight of some sort.
Vergil Ortiz Jr vs. Michael McKinson
Fighters’ Previous Fight Records
Vergil Ortiz Jr is 18-0 with 18 career knockouts heading into this fight and last fought in August 2021 as he picked up an eighth-round TKO win over Egidijus “Mean Machine” Kavaliauskas.
Michael McKinson is entering the ring here with a 22-0 record with a pair of knockouts to his name and last fought back in March as he fought Alex Martin after Ortiz pulled out of the fight and picked up a unanimous decision victory.
Fighters Betting Analysis
The Vergil Ortiz Jr vs. Michael McKinson odds are heavily leaning one way as Ortiz Jr seems to be in the driver’s seat here.
Ortiz Jr. Analysis
Ortiz Jr is currently 18-0, with all of his fights ending with his opponent knocked out on the canvas.
At just 24 years of age, he is climbing up the rankings as one of the best welterweight boxers in the entire sport, regardless of promotion.
He is currently the WBO International Welterweight Champion and has not shown signs of struggle throughout his young career.
McKinson Analysis
Michael McKinson is no slouch in the ring either, as he is regarded as one of the top welterweights as well. He has a southpaw stance and is currently in his prime at 28 years of age.
However, it has been almost half of a decade since he last won via a knockout of any kind, and that is going to hurt him against tougher fighters as they are not afraid of his striking ability.
Unless you are someone with the skills of a Floyd Mayweather Jr that can do enough to win rounds and not take damage, it is going to be hard to continue doing that and be successful enough to win big fights.
Odds Breakdown
Vergil Ortiz Jr
- Ortiz is currently a massive favorite heading into this fight at -1800 to win
Michael McKinson
- McKinson is currently a huge underdog for Saturday’s fight as he is +800 to win
Vergil Ortiz Jr vs. Michael McKinson Betting Pick and Prediction
- Vergil Ortiz Jr -1800
- Michael McKinson +800
However, it is clear and obvious that Vergil Ortiz Jr is the better fighter in this matchup. Ortiz has incredible knockout power, as every one of his 18 professional fights have ended with a knockout.
I completely understand how Michael McKinson has fought more recently and has four more victories to his name, but the competition level clearly indicates that Vergil Ortiz Jr is taking tougher competition and should dominate after a year out of the ring.
This feels like the fight that puts Vergil Ortiz Jr on the same level with guys like Errol Spence Jr and Terence Crawford as perennial championship boxers.
This feels like the fight is going to not reach its 12-round conclusion that it is scheduled for and Ortiz winning by either TKO or KO is not currently available on betting markets as of this writing.
Who to Bet On?
However, you will get a lot more value betting that as well. Go with Vergil Ortiz Jr -1800 to win the fight, as well as Ortiz Jr winning by TKO/KO.
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Boxing Pick: Vergil Ortiz Jr (-1800)
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