Boxing

Zach Parker vs. John Ryder Betting Analysis and Prediction

Two British boxers will meet in the ring this Saturday for WBO super-middleweight interim gold.

Even though it’s the interim belt up for grabs, this fight is high stakes, with the winner being in contention to fight Canelo Alvarez in 2023 for the title.

That is the big-money fight every boxer wants a piece of in the super-middleweight division.

Zach Parker (22-0, 16 KO) will face John Ryder (31-5) in a razor-thin matchup between two elite boxers on their home soil.

This is the biggest fight in the super-middleweight division in quite some time on the boxing schedule. 

Last Fight Record

Parker beat Marcus Morrison in his last bout. That was via TKO and took place a little over a year ago, in November 2021.

Ryder has gone on a 3-fight winning streak after losing to Callum Smith in 2019. His last bout was a very close split-decision victory over Daniel Jacobs in February. 

Matchup Information

  • Date: Saturday 26th November 2022
  • Venue and Location: O2 Arena, London, England
  • How to Watch: BT Sport
  • Time: 2 PM ET. Main card start time

Parker vs. Ryder Betting Analysis

Zach Parker

Parker is coming into this fight with physical advantages. He is the younger, bigger, and faster boxer compared to Ryder. Parker has a 73% knockout percentage in his seven years of pro boxing. 

As the WBO #1 ranked contender at super-middleweight and having his promotion put on this event, Parker will have better treatment on fight day and, unfortunately, a better chance to win off the bat.

A Shady Boxing

It’s hard to say that all boxing is shady like that, but we need to assume as bettors that it will be easier to win on the scorecards for Parker.

He seems to be at his peak for his super-middleweight career because of his size. Parker will eventually move up a weight class because it has to be getting tougher and tougher, making the 168 lb limit. 

5-fight TKO/KO Streak

Parker is on a 5-fight TKO/KO streak and is looking to add to that after meeting the much more experienced fighter on Saturday night.

He can switch and fight decently from both stances while using his power and speed offensively to win fights.

The biggest takeaway from a Parker vs. Ryder betting analysis is the undefeated fighter’s speed advantage.

John Ryder

John Ryder is a battle-tested veteran that has been trying to score a Canelo Alvarez fight for quite some time.

He hasn’t been very active in the last year or two because he wanted to be available for a short-notice call to fight boxing’s “Golden Goose.” 

Ryder Is Feeling the Pressure

Ryder has a pressure-fighter style but chooses his moments wisely in the ring to implement that tactic. He will need to put pressure on Parker a lot in this fight to come out victorious, so be ready to see him really push his cardio to the limit. 

The Parker vs. Ryder betting analysis wouldn’t be right without discussing the size difference between these two fighters.

Ryder is clearly the one that used to be fighting at 160 lb but looks much sturdier at 168. The height disadvantage for Ryder will call for even more pressure than he is used to.

Boxing News

John Ryder says: “I feel I have a lot to give in this sport, and at 168, I feel like I’m a different animal… I supposed (Parker) is looking at this as his breakout fight and seeing if he can do a number on me, but I don’t feel like I’m an opponent just yet.” 

Zach Parker vs. John Ryder Betting Preview

Zach Parker Preview

According to boxing odds, Zach Parker is the -240 betting favorite going into this interim title fight. Ryder is the underdog at +182 currently.

These odds make sense because of the physical advantages that Parker has over Ryder and the promotional advantage that he will have all of fight week. 

Parker has a better chance of getting the job done inside the distance with his power. He is a KO hunter and will look for that finishing sequence in a lot of different situations on Saturday.

John Ryder Preview

Ryder has shown in the past that he can get hurt but has looked much more durable at super-middleweight.

One aspect of this fight to look at is the body punching of Parker. He is actually a really good body puncher and is going up against the opposite-stanced Ryder, who has a high guard.

The only question is if he will have the space and the confidence to get in the pocket with Ryder and pick those body shots. 

Parker vs. Ryder Betting Predictions

After breaking down this fight and the Parker vs. Ryder betting analysis, it has been a very back-and-forth process of picking this one.

Parker seemed like the easy bet because of the promotion and his speed advantage, but Ryder keeps looking better and better.

What it comes down to is Ryder having more experience and looking better against higher-level opponents.

This fight can draw a lot of comparisons to Parker’s fight against Darryll Williams fight. Williams is a short and stocky pressure fighter, just like Ryder, and that gave Parker the toughest fight of his career. 

I think Ryder is going to be in great shape and at his best for this fight to get into the Canelo Alvarez sweepstakes, somewhere he has been trying to be for years now.

This is going to be a tough fight to win on the scorecards, but if Ryder can keep his pace up and throw lots of volume, he will be able to put Parker in situations he has never been in.

Most Profitable Bet for this Fight

Parker is great when he is on the front foot and going after guys, but his defense has a lot of holes, and he is not as polished of a boxer as Ryder.

The pressure is going to give Parker no area for mistakes in his defense, and he will be open to a lot of clean shots. 

The final prediction is this fight is going to be a very close decision on the scorecards, probably even a split decision because of it being Parker’s promotion.

It is unfortunate, but I believe that Ryder will need to win by at least 4-5 rounds to get the job done on Saturday night, which is something he is very capable of doing as an underdog. 

Making boxing picks can be so difficult with close fights like this and when there seems to be a certain agenda trying to be pushed by a promotion for a certain fighter.

Parker just doesn’t have the experience to impress enough to predict him as the winner.

Boxing Pick: John Ryder (+200)

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