The Open Outright Betting Odds & Picks

Pick Analysis

The Open outright betting odds are out for the fourth and final major of the golfing year. Scottie Scheffler is the top elect at +450, but there is much better value with our top pick Rory McIlroy at +800.

McIlroy looks to end a 10-year major winless drought at Royal Troon, but it would be the perfect setting for his form to return. Given the number of players in the tournament, the odds are juicy enough to back a few players to win.

Betting Picks & Tournament Details

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Odds to Win The Open Championship

Here are the PGA Golf betting odds to win the Open Championship:

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The Open Championship Betting Analysis

It has been a long time coming for McIlroy, but we think his The Open outright betting odds are too good to pass up. The Northern Irishman should have won the U.S. Open, and had he not missed two relatively easy putts on 16 and 18, he would have ended his major winless drought, which started in 2014.

It looked like McIlroy was going to rival Tiger Woods’ number early in his career, but now he’s just hoping to win one more.

Royal Troon provides McIlroy the perfect opportunity to win at +800, and golf digest predictions agree. McIlroy ranks among the best Golf picks to win The Open Championship, and he handles the conditions well.

Scheffler will always attract attention, but we don’t fancy his chances playing in Europe. He has only won the Masters, so he hasn’t handled the longer rough presented at the U.S. Open and Open Championship.

We’re also including Ludvig Aberg at +1800. He’s one of the hottest golfers on the planet, and he looks built to win The Open Championship. He won the 2023 European Masters, and although that’s not at the major level, he still defeated some of the best on the DP World Tour.

The Swede finished second behind Scheffler at the Masters, so he can compete with the best, and that makes him a winning threat.

Our third pick is Brooks Koepka. The LIV player won’t feel good about playing second fiddle to Bryson DeChambeau, and the five-time major winner still has plenty of gas in the tank.

Getting +2800 for a player of his class is too good to overlook, and although he’s not playing his best golf, it doesn’t often matter for the American.

The Open Championship Previous Winners and Betting Trends

The last Swedish golfer to win The Open Championship was Henrik Stenson, and it came at Royal Troon. That bodes well for Aberg to follow in the footsteps of his countryman, so that’s a unique golf betting trend to follow.

Brian Harman won in 2023 at Royal Liverpool, and he was the fifth American to win in the last 10 years, including Phil Mickelson, Zach Johnson, Jordan Spieth, and Collin Morikawa.

The winning score at Royal Troon in 2016 was -20, so it was a low scoring competition. The scores could be lower than expected, which favors players who love to attack pins. Defending champion Harman is a +5000 chance to go back-to-back with The Open outright betting odds.

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The Open Championship Betting Picks

There is no going past McIlroy, who is at a much better value price than Scheffler. Conditions in Scotland should favor McIlroy, who was raised on tough European courses, and if the weather is poor, that could help him.

He is always near the top of the leaderboard after the first round, and he only needs to play well on Sunday to take the title.

We’re backing Aberg to make it consecutive wins at Royal Troon for Swedish golfers. He is a star in the making, and it’s only a matter of time before he wins his first major title.

Koepka is the best of the LIV players behind DeChambeau. He wants to send a message to his fellow LIV players that he’s still a kingpin in the golfing world, so expect a better performance from the American.