AL West Game Preview & Pick
The Houston Astros will travel to Boston to face the Red Sox in a crucial three-game series. Houston is just barely holding on to first place in the AL West. Meanwhile, the Red Sox are currently a few games out of the American Wild Card, take a view of our Astros Red Sox betting tips.
Overall, both teams have been competitive and are fighting for an AL Wild Card spot. The Astros have won two consecutive games but are just 4-6 in their last ten games.
- The Red Sox are 6-4 in their last ten games, yet they lost their previous game. In August, every game counts. This is when the scoreboard watch begins.
- The Red Sox are favored slightly at home at -110. Meanwhile, the total is set at 9, with the Over juiced to -120.
Below, we’ll provide our Astros Red Sox betting tips for the first game of this series.
Astros vs. Red Sox Odds
Check out the Astros Red Sox betting odds below.
Astros vs. Red Sox Betting Preview
Starting Pitchers
Ronel Blanco (9-6, 2.98 ERA)
- Ronel Blanco has struck out 28.9% of batters over the last 30 days.
- The right-hander has allowed a .344 ISO and wOBA of .345 to his last 64 lefties.
- Blanco has given up 42.3% of hard contact over the last month.
Tanner Houck (8-8, 3.09 ERA)
- Tanner Houck has struck out only 16.5% of batters while walking 11.7% of batters over the last 30 days.
- Houck has allowed a .156 ISO and wOBA of .350 to his last 103 batters.
- He’s still induced 55.4% of ground balls when balls are batted into play over the last month.
Ronel Blanco has allowed 39.4% of fly balls and has induced only 32.4% of ground balls over the last month.
Tanner Houck has been a bit wild and isn’t earning many strikeouts. But when balls are hit into play, he’s been a bit unlucky. His hard contact is up to 52.7%, but his ground balls are low, along with fly balls and line drives over the last 30 days. He’ll perform better if he can keep his walks down. This will be one of the most fun MLB matchups on the day.
Team Analysis
Houston Astros
- Left-handed Astros ace Framber Valdez was one out away from a no-hitter in the 9th inning earlier in the week.
- He allowed a two-run home run to Corey Seager, which blew the potential no-hit bid. Houston’s pitcher for Game 1 in this series, Blanco, already has a no-hitter this year.
Boston Red Sox
- The Boston Red Sox will skip Nick Pivetta’s start this time around. While this won’t affect Tanner Houck, it will force Cooper Criswell into the starting rotation on Saturday.
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Houston’s Limited Strikeouts Against Righties
The Houston Astros have only struck out 18.2% of the time against righties over the last month. The projected lineup still hasn’t worked walks very much and has hit just a combined .151 ISO and wOBA of .315 over the previous month.
Only Alex Bregman, Yordan Alvarez, and Victor Caratini have hit a high ISO and wOBA against righties over the last 30 days. The rest of the lineup has struggled to stay consistent.
In addition, Houston’s lineup has only hit 21.4% of line drives when putting the ball in play. They’ve also hit a BABIP of just .281.
Keep reading for our free MLB picks against the spread.
Not Much More Production From Boston
The Boston Red Sox are typically much better against lefties. However, they’re playing against a righty in the first game.
Jarren Duran has hit a .348 ISO and wOBA of .462 against righties. Meanwhile, Rafael Devers has slugged a .360 ISO and wOBA of .499 against his last 54 righties. Those two have been sensational.
Unfortunately for Boston, Tyler O’Neill was added to the injury list. He had been crushing righties over the last 30 days. It’s also likely that Dominic Smith will be on the lineup. Smith has hit a .353 ISO and wOBA of .431 against his last 57 righties as a left-handed power slugger.
Both offenses have talent. However, if Blanco struggles to earn strikeouts, he’ll get beat by this Red Sox club.
Our Astros Red Sox betting tips believe the Red Sox at -110 is the play.
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