The Atlanta Braves are still reeling after a horrible trip to Citi Field against the first-place Mets. Fortunately for the Braves, they had an off day to help them rest before heading to Fenway Park to take on the Red Sox. Check the Braves vs Red Sox Betting below.
Anyone making Braves vs. Red Sox best bets will see Boston, which had already started sliding before the All-Star break, have fallen apart completely.
Boston’s inconsistent pitchings show that there aren’t many MLB matchups the Red Sox should be favored in.
The Red Sox have been crushed by inconsistent pitching and surprisingly poor play at home. Boston is 26-27 at home this season.
Overall, the Red Sox have a -30 run differential. Adding insult to injury, Boston lost three of four last weekend to the Kansas City Royals, who are fighting desperately to avoid the AL Central cellar.
Braves vs. Red Sox Information
The Braves and Red Sox will have a 7:10 p.m. first pitch at Fenway Field in Boston.
MLB Performance Recap
The Braves lost to the Mets 5-2 on Sunday to fall to 64-46. Boston lost to Kansas City 13-5 on Sunday to fall to 54-56.
Braves vs. Red Sox Betting Analysis
Anyone making MLB picks will see a startling difference between the two pitching styles of Braves pitcher Charlie Morton and Red Sox pitcher Rich Hill.
Morton Analysis
Morton, a right-hander, is much more dependent on getting strikeouts. Morton ranks 12th in the league with 134 strikeouts.
Morton has a 5-5 record with a 4.09 ERA. The veteran pitcher has spent the season trying to recover from a rough April, where he had a 7.00 ERA.
In July, Morton threw 30 innings and allowed 11 earned runs while striking out 35. Red Sox left-handed pitcher Rich Hill, meanwhile, is more of a control pitcher.
Braves Offense
The Braves’ offense has been excellent throughout the season. Atlanta scores 4.75 runs per game, which ranks sixth in the league.
The Braves also have a large amount of power, connecting on 167 home runs, which is second-best. Atlanta’s pitching staff as a whole has a 3.67 ERA, which ranks sixth in the league.
Hill Analysis
Hill is 4-5 with a 4.52 ERA. Hill has only allowed nine home runs in 73.2 innings of work. While Boston’s pitching staff has been toward the bottom of the league, the Red Sox’ bats have been productive at times. Boston ranks sixth in MLB with a .253 batting average.
Red Sox Averaging Numbers
The Boston Red Sox are also 11th in the league in runs per game, playing 4.48 per contest. However, Boston doesn’t have a ton of power in the lineup. The Red Sox have hit 107 home runs this season, which ranks 18th in the league. Boston’s pitching staff ranks 25th in the league with a 4.39 ERA.
MLB Odds for this Matchup
Atlanta
MLB odds have the Braves as -162 favorites. The over/under for this game has been set at 9.5 runs. The over has gone 56-49-5 in the Braves games this season. Four of Atlanta’s last five games have gone over the total.
Boston
The Red Sox are +132 on the moneyline. The over has gone 49-52-9 in the Red Sox’s games this season. Boston has won three of their past four games when they were underdogs on the moneyline.
Braves vs. Red Sox Pick and Prediction
Atlanta has sunk to seven games behind the New York Mets in the NL East race. After dropping four of its last five games to the rival Mets.
Atlanta can’t afford to take too many more losses if it wants to get back in the first place. Fortunately for the Braves, Morton is still a reliable option on the hill.
Who to Bet On?
Atlanta also has the offensive firepower to cause Hill problems. While Hill does have excellent command, his offspeed pitches haven’t been able to fool top offenses.
If Hill is off just a little bit, the Braves have the ability to punish the Red Sox. The Braves’ offense should be able to take advantage of a weak Boston pitching staff to grab a victory.
MLB Pick: Braves -1.5 (+103)
MLB Pick: Over 9.5 (-109)
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