The first four games of the series between the Boston Red Sox and Baltimore Orioles featured a little bit of everything. On Sunday, Boston’s offense carried the show, producing 12 runs on 15 hits. The Red Sox will be eager to carry this momentum forward, as their home game with Baltimore Monday, as Boston will be headed to the West Coast for an 11-game road swing following the game.
MLB betting trends have shown that Baltimore has been far from a doormat this season. While the Orioles aren’t likely to contend for the postseason, they will be a tough out for any team caught napping. Let’s take a look at how awake Boston will be when the team’s meet in the series finale.
Orioles at Red Sox Stats
Baltimore Orioles Stats
Tyler Wells (1-4) will be taking the mound for the Orioles. Wells has been pitching well since he had two disastrous outings out of his first three starts of the year. Wells has compiled a 4.30 ERA in 37.2 innings of work. He has struck out 25 batters, allowed five home runs and issued six walks.
Things have been difficult for Baltimore on offense. MLB odds show that the Orioles only score 3.67 runs per game, which ranks 26th in the league. Baltimore also has a .225 batting average, which is also 26th best. The Orioles have shown some pop in their lineup, hitting 40 home runs, which is 22nd in the MLB.
Trey Mancini leads the team with a .298 batting average, while Anthony Santander has hit eight home runs. As a team, Baltimore’s pitching staff has struggled. The Orioles have only made 10 quality starts this season, which ranks 25th in the MLB, and has an ERA of 4.10, which is 20th-best.
Boston Red Sox Stats
Lefty Rich Hill (1-2) will get the start for Boston. Hill has been steady this season but has been roughed up in his last two outings, seeing his ERA tick up to 3.86. In 35 innings of work, Hill has issued nine walks, allowed nine home runs and struck out 24 batters.
Boston’s offense has been outstanding all season. The Red Sox rank fourth in the league by averaging 4.88 runs per game. Boston also has a .262 team batting average, which ranks third in the league. Boston has hit 49 home runs, which ranks 13th in the league.
J.D. Martinez leads the Red Sox with a .379 batting average. Rafael Devers has smashed a team-high 11 home runs for Boston.
Orioles at Red Sox Betting Trends
- The over has gone 18-29-2 in the Orioles’ games this season.
- The over has gone 19-24-5 in the Red Sox’ games this season.
- In the first four games of this series, the over has gone 2-2.
- Boston is 26-22 against the run line.
- Baltimore is 28-21 against the run line.
Orioles at Red Sox Betting Picks
MLB picks today has Boston as a -167 favorite. The Orioles are +145. The over/under is set at 10 runs. This series has gone back-and-forth so far, as neither team has been able to string two wins together. Boston hasn’t been strong as home this season, as the pitching staff has betrayed its strong offensive staff.
This is a spot where it feels like the Red Sox needs this game more. Boston is still two games below .500 and are looking at a difficult West Coast swing ahead of them. The Red Sox are 12-12 at Fenway Park this season and are 10 games out of first place in the American League East and 3.5 games out of the second Wild Card spot.
If Boston wants to get into playoff contention, the Red Sox can’t afford to drop too many more games at home to teams below them in the standings. With the Orioles sending a solid, but unspectacular pitching to the mound in Wells, this is another good opportunity for Boston’s offense to tee off. Expect the Red Sox to score a win in a slugfest and win the five-game series.
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