Surging Red Sox Visit World Series Favorites
The Boston Red Sox begin MLB’s second half with a three-game series against the Los Angeles Dodgers at Dodger Stadium. Gavin Stone opposes fellow right-hander Nick Pivetta in Friday’s opener (10:10 p.m. ET).
Los Angeles (56-41) is just 1-6 over their last seven games but has mostly lived up to expectations, separating itself as a +330 favorite to win the World Series.
Though Boston (53-42) doesn’t have nearly as much star power as the Dodgers and their $249 million payroll, it also has the makings of a contender. The Red Sox, winners of 10 of their last 13, are in sole possession of the third and final wild card in the American League.
Let’s dive into the odds and give our Red Sox-Dodgers MLB game analysis.
Red Sox vs Dodgers Picks

- Dodgers ML (-125)
- Over 8.5 (-105)
- Nick Pivetta Over 6.5 strikeouts (+150)
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Red Sox Put Road Success to the Test
Boston took two of three from Kansas City in its final series before the All-Star break to improve to a season-high 11 games above .500. It is now +100 to make the playoffs, though it has multiple clubs nipping at its heels.
The Boston Red Sox have surprisingly fared better on the road, where they are 29-17 (11-2 since June 9). Our Red Sox-Dodgers MLB game analysis shows their ERA is nearly a full run lower away from Fenway Park (3.26 compared to 3.98).
The Dodgers’ potent lineup will be a good test. Even without Mookie Betts, who hasn’t played since June 16 because of a fractured left hand, the Dodgers have been expectedly potent thanks to All-Star mashers like Shohei Ohtani.
Ohtani, in his first season as a Dodger, leads the NL in both home runs (29) and OPS (1.036) and is tracking to win his third MVP award. Free BetUS MLB odds list him as a -350 favorite.
Los Angeles is averaging 4.9 runs per game and ranks third in the majors in homers, with 129.
Boston Red Sox vs Los Angeles Dodgers Information
Boston Red Sox (53-42) vs Los Angeles Dodgers (56-41)
Location of the game: Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles
Date & Time: Friday, July 19 at 10:10 p.m. ET
How to watch: NESN
Red Sox vs Dodgers Odds
Los Angeles is -1.5 (+160) on the run line and -125 on the moneyline, with Boston +1.5 (-192) and +105. Meanwhile, the projected total is 8.5, with oddsmakers giving a slight edge to the Under at -115.
The Dodgers are also -195 favorites to win the series, compared to +170 for the Red Sox.
1Moneyline:
Red Sox +105
Dodgers -125
2Total:
8.5 runs (-105/-115)
3Runline:
Red Sox +1.5 (-192)
Dodgers -1.5 (+160)
The Los Angeles Dodgers are in a familiar position, favored for the 89th time in its first 98 games. Stone has struggled in July (9.39 ERA in two starts), though he’s one of the few Dodgers’ starters to stay healthy. The right-hander has solid reverse splits, holding lefties to a .239 average and .651 OPS in 159 at-bats this season.
Pivetta, who’s coming off back-to-back 10-strikeout performances against Miami and Oakland, has a 2.97 ERA in seven starts away from Fenway Park this year. However, he’s been prone to the long ball, with 13 homers allowed in 75.1 innings.
Keep that in mind when making your MLB betting picks.
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Red Sox vs Dodgers Betting Analysis & Final Overview
The All-Star break came at an opportune time for the Dodgers, who closed the first half losing series to the Phillies and Tigers. That bought them time to reset and get healthy as they set their sights on another NL West title.
Boston looks formidable, but it may struggle to keep the Dodgers’ thunderous lineup in check. With that in mind, we’re taking the Dodgers’ moneyline at -125 as our Red Sox-Dodgers MLB game analysis pick. We hope you enjoyed our free MLB picks for today!
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