The Atlanta Braves will travel to Milwaukee to face the Brewers in an exciting battle between two of the best National League teams in the MLB standings.
The Milwaukee Brewers have been more surprising than the Braves. After all, Milwaukee traded Corbin Burnes in the offseason and lost Craig Counsell to the Chicago Cubs. The Brewers have also played the year out without Brandon Woodruff. Meanwhile, Christian Yelich is hurt and unavailable at the moment.
Yet the Atlanta Brewers keep on finding ways to win. They are 6-4 in their last ten games and have an 80-run differential this season. They’re also 30-19 at home, which is exactly where they’ll be for this series against the Braves.
Check out our Braves Brewers betting tips for Game 1 of this intriguing National League showdown. The latest MLB lines at BetUS provided:
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On the other hand, the Braves haven’t had much offense this season. But the pitching staff has done very well. It’s one of the many reasons Atlanta is still eight games above .500 as we approach August.
That said, Atlanta’s pitching is becoming a bit thin. They will ride with Grant Holmes in tonight’s matchup against the Brewers. Holmes hasn’t started a game this season but has a 2.70 ERA in 23.1 innings pitched this year. We’ll see if the starter role will affect his numbers.
At this time, oddsmakers don’t love Holmes and the Braves. They believe Colin Rea and the Brewers have a slightly higher chance of winning this game. The Brewers are -110 on the moneyline, with the total currently at 8. However, the Over is juiced to -120.
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Odds Breakdown for Braves vs. Brewers
Our MLB picks today covers a wide range of bets in this game.
Braves vs Brewers Betting Lines
BetUS betting line: Brewers -112 ML
The Milwaukee Brewers will pitch Colin Rea for tonight’s game against the Braves. Rea has been electric as of late. He’s held a .057 ISO and wOBA of .259 over his last 93 batters faced. He’s also struck out nearly 24% of batters, which is much higher than his usual average of 18.2%.
Rea should have an outstanding day with the Atlanta projected lineup strikeout rate at 27% against righties over the last month.
On the other hand, Grant Holmes has been really good for the Braves over the last month. He’s thrown against 62 batters and has allowed a .035 ISO and wOBA of .201. But it’s unlikely he will sustain this success as a starter.
We’d back the Brewers on the ML using the MLB odds BetUS.
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MyBookie betting line: Brewers -1.5 (+165)
At home, the Brewers have plenty of potential against the Atlanta Braves. While Atlanta turned it on offensively over the last two days, they haven’t consistently scored runs.
Meanwhile, the Brewers have won three of their last five games and have also struggled to score runs. It’s just that Milwaukee is taking on Holmes, who hasn’t started a game yet this MLB season. All of his success could crumble when he actually starts.
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Bookmaker Betting line: Under 8 (-105)
While Holmes probably won’t sustain his success, he’s still a good pitcher and should at least keep the Braves in the game tonight.
They’ve allowed no more than two runs in Milwaukee’s last three wins. Rea matches up well with Atlanta’s lineup. He’s added a higher rate of strikeouts recently, and the Braves continue to whiff against righties in that same time frame.
Our main Braves Brewers betting tips are that you shouldn’t expect a ton of runs in this one.
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Braves vs. Brewers Recent Trends
Atlanta Braves Last 6:
- June 22, 2024: 1-4 loss vs Cincinnati Reds
- June 24, 2024: 4-9 loss vs Cincinnati Reds
- June 25, 2024: 2-3 loss at New York Mets
- June 26, 2024: 4-8 loss at New York Mets
- June 27, 2024: 4-0 win at New York Mets
- June 28, 2024: 9-2 win at New York Mets
Milwaukee Brewers Last 5:
- June 22, 2024: 1-3 loss at Chicago Cubs
- June 23, 2024: 1-0 win at Chicago Cubs
- June 24, 2024: 3-2 win at Chicago Cubs
- June 26, 2024: 2-6 loss vs Miami Marlins
- June 27, 2024: 3-7 loss vs Miami Marlins
- June 28, 2024: 6-2 win vs Miami Marlins
Braves vs. Brewers Best Bet: Under 8 (-105)
The Brewers have hit just a .112 ISO and wOBA of .284 against righties over the last 30 days. The projected lineup has also struck out 23% of the time against righties in that time frame.
With a matchup against Grant Holmes, the Brewers could find some power and take an early lead. But overall, Holmes should hold his own and keep the Brewers to a low number of runs.
On the other hand, Colin Rea is in the middle of his best stretch of the season. The right-hander has allowed a high rate of line drives to righties. But it won’t matter if Atlanta can’t connect. The projected lineup for the Braves has struck out 27% of the time and has hit a .273 wOBA against righties over the last month.
Therefore, our Braves Brewers betting tips include backing the Under 8 (-105) for this game.
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