Pick Analysis
The Atlanta Braves visit San Diego for three games beginning Friday. The series will take both MLB teams to the All-Star Break. Neither team is hitting the ball well right now. Atlanta is coming off a 1-0 loss to Arizona on Thursday.
The Padres lost their last game 2-0 to Seattle. This will be the 17th game since 2020 where both teams were shutout their previous game.
The MLB baseball standings show both teams are currently in wild card positions. Atlanta has a four-game lead in the NL wild card race. The Padres are clinging to the final spot, but have several teams right there with them.
San Diego will have to play well in the second half of the season to hang on to that position.
Atlanta has struggled a bit with Spencer Schwellenbach on the mound. Atlanta is just 2-6 when he starts and have lost each of his three road starts. San Diego is 5-7 when Randy Vasquez takes the mound and have split his six starts at home.
Vasquez has strung together three decent starts and is in better form right now, making the Padres +112 one of your MLB best bets today.
Braves vs Padres Information & Pick
Atlanta Braves (51-41) vs San Diego Padres (49-47)
Location of the game: Petco Park, San Diego, Calif.
Date & Time: Friday, July 12, 9:40 p.m. EST
Where to Watch: Bally Sports South, Padres TV
Braves vs Padres Picks
- Pick: San Diego +112
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Atlanta Braves at San Diego Padres Betting Analysis
The Braves vs Padres betting odds and picks have Atlanta as slight road favorites, which isn’t a role where they’ve played their best. Atlanta is 20-18 as an away favorite. San Diego is 4-5 as a home underdog. Here are the latest MLB odds today:
1Moneyline:
Atlanta Braves -122
San Diego Padres +112
2Total:
8.5
3Runline:
Atlanta Braves -1.5 (+130)
San Diego Padres +1.5 (-150)
Braves vs Padres Preview & Updates
The Braves are 5-5 over their last 10 games and have essentially been a .500 team over the past 10 weeks. The offense isn’t getting the job done, and Atlanta is scoring 4.3 runs per game. The pitching staff has kept the Braves in games by allowing just 3.7 runs per game.
San Diego has dropped four straight games and is 4-6 over its last 10. The Padres are scoring 4.6 runs per game and allowing 4.4 runs.
Braves vs Padres Recent Scores
San Diego won three of the four games that were played in Atlanta in May. Vasquez was the only San Diego pitcher to lose in that series, but he didn’t pitch poorly. He allowed three runs in six innings in a 3-0 loss to Chris Sale.
Atlanta Braves Last 5
- July 7, 2024: 6-0 win vs Philadelphia
- July 8, 2024: 5-4 win at Arizona
- July 9, 2024: 6-2 win at Arizona
- July 10, 2024: 7-5 loss at Arizona
- July 11, 2024: 1-0 loss at Arizona
San Diego Padres Last 5
- July 5, 2024: 10-8 win vs Arizona
- July 6, 2024: 7-5 loss vs Arizona
- July 7, 2024: 9-1 loss vs Arizona
- July 9, 2024: 8-3 loss vs Seattle
- July 10, 2024: 2-0 loss vs Seattle
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Atlanta Braves Analysis: Offense Not Carrying Its Weight
After a hot start to the 2024 season, the Atlanta offense hasn’t done a whole lot lately. If not for a solid pitching staff, the Braves would be near the bottom of the standings. The Atlanta Braves are 34-8 when they score at least five runs in a game, which is something that doesn’t happen enough.
Key Injuries
Most of the injury news for Atlanta in 2024 hasn’t been good. The team lost Ronald Acuna for the season last month after losing starting pitcher Spencer Strider for the year in April. Pitcher Ian Anderson is getting closer to returning after being out since April 2023. He’s made four rehab starts in the minors. Outfielder Michael Harris II is expected back later this month.
Betting Trends to Know
The Atlanta Braves are just 15-17 when road favorites of -120 or higher this season. The Braves vs Padres betting odds and picks show Atlanta has lost eight of its last nine games in that situation.
San Diego Padres Analysis: Team Slumping at Wrong Time
With the Los Angeles Dodgers slumping, San Diego had a chance to put a dent in Los Angeles’ seven-game lead in the division. Instead, the San Diego Padres have matched the Dodgers’ losing streak and both team’s enter Friday’s play on four-game losing skids.
Key Injuries
Xander Bogaerts could possibly return for this series of the Padres can give him some extra time and bring him back after the All-Star Break. Fernando Tatis is still looking at a late August to early September return date.
Betting Trends to Know
The Padres are 13-8 in totals this season when the over/under is 8.5 runs. San Diego is 5-2 at home and 8-6 at home. The Padres have also gone 13-8 straight-up in those games. The Braves vs Padres betting odds and picks note San Diego is also 5-2 straight-up at home when the total is 8.5.
Braves vs Padres Betting Prediction
Take San Diego +112 over the Braves Friday night. Vasquez is starting to pitch better and should continue that run against the Atlanta offense.
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