The best team in baseball meets its closest division rival on Tuesday night to open the National League Division Series when the Los Angeles Dodgers host the San Diego Padres.
The first pitch of game one of the National League Division Series is scheduled for 9:37 P.M. on Tuesday, October 11, 2022, from Dodgers Stadium in Los Angeles, California. You can catch this game on FS1.
We’ll review the available MLB odds, statistics, and probable starting pitching to give you our Dodgers vs. Padres betting prediction for game one of the National League Division Series.
Padres vs. Dodgers Odds Breakdown
As the first part of this Dodgers vs. Padres prediction, we need to review the latest MLB odds.
Moneyline
Online sportsbooks have the moneyline set with the Los Angeles Dodgers as the betting favorite, listed between -208 and -227. The San Diego Padres are listed as the significant underdog on the moneyline between +175 and +190.
Run line
Most online sportsbooks have Los Angeles (-1.5) as the slight betting underdog on the run line spread, with odds listed between +105 and +105. Most online sportsbooks have San Diego (+1.5) as the betting favorite on the run line spread, listed between -115 and -128.
Total
Online sportsbooks have the total runs listed between 5.5 and 6.5. The over is listed with odds between -115 and -128, while the under is listed between -108 and -11.
After finishing this Dodgers vs. Padres prediction, you can find the total runs at 5.5, 6, or 6.5 if you are interested in taking the total runs in your MLB picks.
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview
The Los Angeles Dodgers were the best team in baseball. The Dodgers finished the MLB season with a 111-51 record (.685 winning percentage).
MLB Stats
The Dodgers ranked atop MLB stats in both average offensive and defensive runs per game, averaging 5.23 runs per game, while the Dodgers’ pitching held the opposition to an average of 3.17 runs per game.
The San Diego Padres finished second in the National League West division with an 89-73 record (.549 winning percentage).
The San Diego Padres ranked 12th in MLB, averaging 4.37 runs per game, while the Padres’ pitchers averaged 4.05 opposition runs per game, ranking them 10th.
The Padres have been building a contender piece by piece to dethrone the Dodgers and make a run toward the World Series.
Wild Card Series
In their Wild Card series against the New York Mets, the San Diego Padres won the first game 7-1 before losing the second game 7-3.
The Padres wiped away Buck Showalter’s desperate attempt to sway game three’s momentum, ending the Mets’ season with a 6-0 victory and a date with the Los Angeles Dodgers.
2022 Head-to-Head Series
Of note for any Dodgers vs. Padres predictions are that the Los Angeles Dodgers won the 2022 head-to-head series 14-5.
As the season wound down and each game took on increased importance, the results between the Dodgers and the Padres didn’t as the Dodgers continued their season-long domination of the Padres. In their 19 previous MLB matchups, only four of these games were
Padres vs. Dodgers Starting Pitchers:
San Diego Padres
With Mike Clevenger ruled out as of publication, the San Diego Padres have not announced a starting pitcher for game one of the National League Divisional series.
We do not expect Blake Snell, You Darvish, or Joe Musgrove to start until games 2-4, leaving San Diego with one regular rotation starter as an option.
Sean Manaea as Starter
We think the San Diego Padres will have right-handed pitcher Sean Manaea scheduled to start against the Dodgers on Tuesday night. Manaea finished 2022 with an 8-9 record in thirty appearances, pitching to a 4.96 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP.
This is important to our Dodgers vs. Padres prediction: Manaea has faced the Los Angeles Dodgers five times this year, and the Padres lost all five games, with none ending in a one-run spread.
Los Angeles Dodgers
The Los Angeles Dodgers have not confirmed which of Clayton Kershaw or Julio Urías will start game one of the National League Division series. Kershaw had a 12-3 record in twenty-two appearances, pitching to a 2.28 ERA and a 0.94 WHIP.
Julio Urias as Starter
Urias had a 17-7 record in thirty-one appearances, pitching to a 2.16 ERA and a 0.96 WHIP.
Urias has pitched in four Dodger wins over the Padres in 2022, while Kershaw pitched in two games against San Diego, splitting the results.
Padres vs. Dodgers Betting Analysis
So, throughout the 2022 MLB season, we’ve written a lot of Los Angeles betting previews and have reviewed the Dodgers’ stats.
Time and time again, we eventually pick the favored Dodgers to win and cover the run line spread. More often than not, we cannot advise picking against the best team in baseball.
Game one of the National League Division Series is no exception. We’re picking the Dodgers to take a 1-0 lead in the series, meaning we should be making a moneyline wager as a part of our Dodgers vs. Padres betting prediction.
Who to Bet On?
The Dodgers are the best team in baseball and have a considerable pitching advantage: in both talent and strategy options. Take the Los Angeles Dodgers to win on the moneyline at -208 to -227 odds.
To get more value from picking the Dodgers on the moneyline, we’ll take Los Angeles to cover the run line spread (-1.5) as our official Dodgers vs. Padres betting prediction.
The Los Angeles Dodgers were 98-64 against the spread (ats) in 2022, while the San Diego Padres were 74-91 ats. We’ll take the Dodgers to cover the run line spread at +105 to -105 odds.
MLB Pick: Dodgers
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