Guardians vs Brewers Betting Analysis & Prediction

Pick Analysis

We’ve got a heavyweight MLB matchup between the Cleveland Guardians and Milwaukee Brewers to begin the weekend. Our Guardians vs Brewers betting prediction for the series’ first game centers on which team can come up with offense when it matters.

Although the Guardians and Brewers aren’t in the same division or league, they’re both in line to make the playoffs with outstanding records to date.

The Guardians have earned 72 wins this season. However, the Brewers aren’t far behind with 69. This is a potential World Series matchup.

While both offenses haven’t been supreme for these ball clubs, the pitching has been lights out. Ultimately, you need good pitching to win the World Series. Both teams have it.

Still, let’s not get ahead of ourselves. It’s only August 16, and plenty of baseball remains to be played. A series win for either of these teams during Player’s Weekend would be huge.

That said, oddsmakers don’t know which side to favor. The Guardians and Brewers are both -105 on the moneyline. Meanwhile, the total is set at 8, with both sides listed at -110. Game 1 of this series is a straight pick-em game.

Let’s see if we can find an edge for either of these teams in the series’ first game.

MLB . Friday, August 16, 2024, 8:10 pm ET | American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI

Guardians (72-49)

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Brewers (69-52)

Matchup

Pick Guardians -105

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Guardians vs. Brewers Betting Analysis

The Cleveland Guardians will roll with young right-hander Gavin Williams. Williams might be 2-4 on the season, but he’s struck out 30% of his last 110 batters and has limited opponents to a .141 ISO over the previous month.

In addition, Williams has added 12.1% of swinging strikes and allowed 23.5% of fly balls over the last month. He’s also given up just a 5.9% barrel percentage in the previous 30 days.

Meanwhile, the Milwaukee Brewers will counter with Aaron Civale. The veteran righty has allowed a .256 ISO and wOBA of .390 to his last 87 batters. He’s also given up 48.4% of hard contact over the previous month and has allowed nearly an 11% barrel percentage. Civale won’t earn a high rate of strikeouts but has still held his walks to 8% over the last 30 days.

Guardians vs. Brewers Odds

Before discussing the Guardians vs Brewers betting predictions for tonight’s game, here are the free MLB odds at some of the best sportsbooks in the world.

RL:ML:Total:

-1.5 -110-105O7.5 -120

+1.5 -110-105U7.5 Ev

BET NOW

RL:ML:Total:

-1.5 +150-107O8 -115

+1.5 -170-103U8 -105

BET NOW

RL:ML:Total:

-1.5 -150-107O8 -115

+1.5 -170-107U8 -105

BET NOW

RL:ML:Total:

+1.5 -225-107O8 -120

-1.5 +185-113U8 Ev

BET NOW

Guardians vs. Brewers Betting Preview & Updates

After the Colorado Rockies waived catcher Elias Diaz, the Guardians were rumored to be interested in the catcher. Cleveland has a left-handed Bo Naylor catcher who has done some big things. But a right-handed slugger in the Guardians lineup against lefties would certainly help in a playoff push.

Meanwhile, the Brewers just learned they’ll be without Christian Yelich for the rest of the season. He has officially opted for season-ending surgery for his back injury, according to the MLB Injury Report.

Guardians vs. Brewers Recent Scores

In their previous meeting, Milwaukee beat the Guardians 5-4 in Cleveland on June 25, 2023.

Before looking at our Guardians vs Brewers betting predictions, check out the outcomes of the last six games for both teams.

Guardians Analysis

Three-Game Sweep Against The Cubs

The Cleveland Guardians are riding high after a three-game sweep against the Cubs. This series win pushed the Guardians to 72-49 on the season and four games ahead of the Minnesota Twins in the American League Central standings.

Betting Trend

• A $100 bettor has lost $44 on the moneyline over the last ten games when betting on the Guardians.

Brewers Analysis

Should Jackson Chourio Be Talked About More?

The NL Rookie of the Year race was considered a two-man race between Paul Skenes and Jackson Merrill. But there’s an argument that Milwaukee’s Jackson Chourio deserves some votes, too.

According to MLB player stats, he became one of six MLB players in the game’s history to earn 15+ home runs and 15+ stolen bases at 20 years of age.

Betting Trend

• A $100 bettor has won $427 over the last ten games when betting the Brewers on the moneyline.

The Brewers have been making a lot of money for bettors lately. But that doesn’t mean you should blindly add the Brewers to your MLB picks and parlays today.

Guardians vs. Brewers Betting Prediction

Heading into this series, the Brewers have a more impactful lineup against righties. Milwaukee’s lineup has smashed a .170 ISO and woBA of .316 and has five batters with an ISO of at least .151 against righties over the last month.

However, they’re facing Gavin Williams, who has thrown at a much more consistent rate than Aaron Civale of the Brewers.

Ultimately, Civale has allowed a .256 ISO and wOBA of .390 to his last 87 batters. He’s struggled against both sides of the plate, so we believe he’ll struggle more than Williams.

After all, the Guardians are still getting consistent production from Jose Ramirez, Josh Naylor, Jhonkesny Noel, and Bo Naylor against righties. Our Guardians vs Brewers betting predictions believe we’ll see some clutch hits from those four. Therefore, our MLB pick today is the Guardians in Game 1 of this series at -108.

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