Guardians vs. Phillies Picks & Parlays

Guardians vs Phillies Parlay Picks

The Cleveland Guardians will travel to Philadelphia to take on the Phillies in a three-game series. Both teams are currently above .500 and also have more than 60 wins this season. Before today’s games, only five teams have records with at least 60 wins.
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Two of those five MLB teams stats will compete in an interleague matchup this weekend. Ultimately, the Phillies have gone just 4-6 in their last ten games. They also lost their most recent game on Wednesday. On the other hand, the Guardians have also gone 4-6 and were shut out in yesterday’s series finale against the Detroit Tigers.

At least one of these teams will get back to winning ways this weekend. We’ll discuss the first game of the series tonight to see which team can take the series lead.

The oddsmakers ultimately like the Phillies, who are -178 on the moneyline. Meanwhile, the total is set at 8, but the Over is juiced to -118.

Check out the Guardians vs Phillies betting odds as we try to assemble a profitable parlay for this game below.

Bet only what you can afford to lose. If you have a problem with that, please visit NCPG website or call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Guardians vs. Phillies Game Analysis

The Cleveland Guardians will roll with Ben Lively for the opener of this series. He’s a right-handed pitcher, holding a 3.57 ERA on the season. However, he’s allowed his last 66 righties to hit a .222 ISO and wOBA of .371 in the previous 30 days.

Lively has also allowed 31% of fly balls over the last month and has struck out just 20.5% of batters in that time. Even his previous 51 lefties have hit a .182 ISO against him.

Lively has had a solid ERA throughout the MLB season, but if these numbers stay high, it won’t last forever.

On the other hand, the Philadelphia Phillies will pitch Cristopher Sanchez. He has much more potential for consistency. After all, the left-handed has held his last 99 batters to a .106 ISO and wOBA of .277. He’s also induced more than 53% of ground balls and has allowed just 17.3% of fly balls.

Sanchez won’t add a high rate of strikeouts, but he’s limited walks and has earned 15.6% of swinging strikes against righties over the last month.

The Phillies are heavy favorites at home using the MLB odds at BetUS, and they absolutely should be.

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Guardians vs. Phillies Odds

The Phillies are heavy favorites in tonight’s opener, sitting with a -178 pricetag. While Lively and Sanchez have ERAs below 3.60, Sanchez has much better analytics. When looking at these Guardians vs Phillies betting odds, oddsmakers and bettors trust Sanchez to sustain success over Lively.

Guardians vs. Phillies Betting Analysis & Final Overview

Our MLB picks today include Trea Turner and Nick Castellanos to hit at least two total bases. Over the last 30 days, Turner has added a .299 ISO and wOBA of .463 against his last 71 righties. He also rarely walks and has hit 54% of hard contact with a 12% barrel percentage.

In addition, Turner has added a BABIP of .432 over the last 30 days against righties and has hit 32% of fly balls.

He’ll go up against Ben Lively, who has allowed a .222 ISO and wOBA of .371 to his last 66 righties. Lively has added just 7.7% of swinging strikes and has given up 59.2% of hard contact to righties during the previous 30 days.

That’s also why you’ll want to consider Nick Castellanos to earn at least two bases on a total basis. Castellanos has added a .280 ISO and wOBA of .378 against his last 58 righties as a right-handed batter. He’s added a .348 BABIP and has earned 29.2% of fly balls with 27.1% of line drives against righties over the last month.

Those numbers also match up well against Lively.

Meanwhile, if those two do the expected damage, the Phillies will likely add the win. Cristopher Sanchez has been incredibly good for the Phillies and will take on a Guardians lineup that has collectively hit a .161 ISO over the last 30 days against lefties. The projected lineup has also struck out 25% of the time against lefties.

While the Guardians are good at working walks, Sanchez is even better at limiting walks. If he can keep the Guardians away from a high walk rate, he should be able to limit damage.

Therefore, consider a same-game parlay with Turner and Castellanos to hit two total bases and the Phillies winning outright on the moneyline. There’s some value in these Guardians vs Phillies betting odds.

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