After taking Game 2 of the American League Divisional Series in Houston on Sunday, the Minnesota Twins will look to use their home-field advantage to take down the Houston Astros on Tuesday.
Astros vs TwinsPicks
For our Astros vs Twins best bets, we will be taking the Astros to win this one on the road.
With both teams looking to take the edge in the best-of-five series, Tuesday’s game should be an exciting one.
As you consider your MLB picks, read ahead to get a breakdown of this matchup and our Astros vs Twins best bets.
Astros vs. Twins Odds
Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins Information
Houston Astros vs Minnesota Twins
Location of the game: Target Field, Minneapolis, Minnesota
Date & Time: Tuesday, October 10. 4:07 pm ET.
How to watch: National – FOX | FOX-INT
Recent Scores
- After two games, the series is tied at one apiece. In the most recent Minnesota Twins and Houston Astros score, the Twins prevailed 6-2.
- In the victory, Pablo Lopez was fantastic, hurling seven scoreless innings. Carlos Correa also came up big against his former club as he drove in three.
- While Yordan Alvarez hit his third home run of the series for Houston, it still wasn’t enough for the defending champions. Starter Framber Valdez struggled as he allowed five earned runs over just 4.1 innings of work.
- Coming into the postseason, the Astros were atop the MLB standings in the AL West with a 90-72 overall record. They were especially strong on the road this year, going an impressive 51-30.
- Minnesota also won their division, as they beat the Tigers by nine games in the AL Central. At home this season, Minnesota was 47-34.
Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins Analysis
Trying to take back home field advantage, Astros’ manager Dusty Baker will turn to 26-year-old righty Christian Javier. His MLB player stats show that he is 4-1 with a 2.20 ERA and 0.92 WHIP in 14 postseason games.
In his last start, he shutdown the Arizona Diamondbacks. He picked up the win after going six scoreless innings, allowing just three hits and striking out four.
Out of all MLB teams, Houston ranked fifth this year in scoring, averaging 5.09 runs per game (5.70 on the road).
During the regular season, Yordan Alvarez (31 HR, 97 RBI, 77 R) and Kyle Tucker (29 HR, 112 RBI, 97 R, 30 SB) led the Astros’ attack.
Minnesota’s Reliable Right-Hander
Minnesota will counter with 33-year-old righty Sonny Gray. In 32 MLB games this year, he went 8-8 with a 2.79 ERA and 1.15 WHIP, and he had 183 strikeouts in 184 innings of work.
In Gray’s last three starts, he allowed just two earned runs over a combined 17 innings. Offensively, the Twins rank 10th in scoring out of all MLB teams, averaging 4.78 runs per game.
In four postseason games this year, Royce Lewis has been on a tear. In 15 at bats, he is hitting .267/.389/.867 with a team-leading three home runs, four runs batted in, and five runs scored.
MLB Injury Report
The MLB injury report shows the Astros are without pitchers Lance McCullers Jr (forearm) and Luis Garcia (forearm). Minnesota is without outfielder Byron Buxton (hamstring).
Odds Breakdown
Before determining our Astros vs Twins best bets, it is important to look at the MLB odds for this game.
- Moneyline: Minnesota is the slight favorite in this one playing at home. They are -129 to win, while the Astros’ moneyline sits at +119.
- Spread: The spread features Houston at +1.5, with odds of -190. The Twins come in at -1.5 on the spread, with odds of +160.
- Over/Under: The over/under for total runs is set at eight. The over has odds of -115, while the under eight runs has odds of -105.
Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins Betting Pick and Prediction
- For our Astros vs Twins best bets, we will be taking the Astros to win this one on the road.
Looking at the trends, the Astros are 5-1 in their last six MLB games and 6-1 in their last seven games on the road.
Given that both Christian Javier and Sonny Gray have the potential to shut down an opponent, either team could come out victorious in this one. With how well Houston has played on the road this year and the fact the defending champions are the underdog, there is just a lot of value in taking them at +119.
In terms of the total runs, take the under in this contest. The under has hit in eight of the last 11 matchups between the two teams. Expect that trend to continue in this one.
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