MLB Battling For Wild Card Positions
Mets vs Pirates Analysis
The New York Mets visit the Pittsburgh Pirates on Friday to start a three-game series at PNC Park. The Mets will start veteran right-hander Luis Severino. After a few injury-plagued seasons with the Yankees, Severino has rebounded nicely this season. He’ll bring a 5-2 record and a 3.42 ERA into the game. The Pirates will have rookie Paul Skenes on the mound. Skenes has lived up to all the hype, going 4-0 with a 2.06 ERA. He has 70 strikeouts in 52 1/3 innings. The Mets vs Pirates betting odds and picks have the Pirates -126 with a total of 7.5-over (-120). Pittsburgh is +170 on the runline.
The Mets have been a better team away from home this season. The major league baseball standings today show New York is 21-18 on the road and 21-25 at home. Even after dropping the last two games at Washington, the Mets are 9-4 on the road since June 1.
Pittsburgh is 20-22 at home and 21-23 on the road this season, so there isn’t a big difference in the team record. The Pirates do score slightly more on the road this season, but the difference is minimal.
The MLB picks today will be taking the Mets and the Pirates over 7.5 runs. The Mets are 5-2 in totals when Severino starts on the road. Pittsburgh is 3-2 in totals with Skenes on the mound at home.
New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates Information
New York Mets (42-43) vs Pittsburgh Pirates (41-45)
- Location of the game: PNC Park, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
- Date & Time Friday, July 5, 6:40 p.m. ET
- How to watch: SNY
Mets vs PiratesPicks

- Pick: Pirates -120
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New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Analysis
The New York Mets have excelled as a road underdog this season, going 12-8. The team has won its last four games in that role. Pittsburgh is just 10-14 as a home favorite and a dismal 6-18 on the runline when favored at home.
New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates Odds
Before our Mets betting analysis and Pirates predictions, the latest betting lines
1Moneyline:
Pirates -126, Mets +116
2Total:
Over 7.5 runs (-120), Under 7.5 runs
3Runline:
Mets +1.5 (-200), Pirates -1.5 (+170)
New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview & Updates
The New York Mets have lost their last two games, but are still 6-4 over their last 10. Since June 1, New York is 18-10. The Pirates are just 4-6 over their last 10 games, but are 15-14 since June 1.
New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates Recent Scores
New York Mets Last 5
- June 30, 2024: 10-5 loss vs Houston Astros
- July 1, 2024: 9-7 win at Washington Nationals
- July 2, 2024: 7-2 win at Washington Nationals
- July 3, 2024: 7-5 loss at Washington Nationals
- July 4, 2024: 1-0 loss at Washington Nationals
Pittsburgh Pirates Last 5
- June 29, 2024: 2-1 loss at Atlanta Braves
- June 30, 2024: 4-2 win at Atlanta Braves
- July 2, 2024: 7-4 loss vs St. Louis Cardinals
- July 3, 2024: 5-4 win vs St. Louis Cardinals
- July 4, 2024: 3-2 loss vs St. Louis Cardinals
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New York Mets Analysis: Home Run Hitters
The Mets vs Pirates betting odds and picks shows New York has been carried by its offense so far this season. New York is averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is .5 runs better than the league average of 4.4 runs. The biggest reason the Mets are scoring so much is power. New York ranks No. 4 in MLB with 109 home runs. That trails just the Orioles, Yankees and Dodgers.
Pittsburgh Pirates Analysis: Rookie Pitchers Making Their Mark 
Pittsburgh fans haven’t had much reason to be excited in recent years. The team last made the playoffs in 2015 when it qualified for the Wild Card game, which it lost 8-0. The future is now looking a whole lot brighter this season with the performance of Skenes and fellow rookie Jared Jones. Jones went on the 15-day injured list a few days ago, but will be back soon. He’s 5-6 with a 3.56 ERA and 98 strikeouts in 91 innings.
New York Mets vs Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Prediction
The Mets vs Pirates betting odds and picks will be on the over 7.5 runs in tonight’s game. New York is averaging 6.2 runs per game since June 1. The Mets are 5-1 in totals after being shutout their previous game.
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