Nola, Glasnow Duel in Star-Studded Pitching Matchup
The Philadelphia Phillies and Los Angeles Dodgers, the National League’s two best teams in today’s MLB standings, begin a three-game series on Monday (10:10 p.m. ET) at Dodger Stadium. Aaron Nola gets the start against fellow right hander Tyler Glasnow as Philadelphia seeks to right its recent slump (2-8 over last 10 games).
Philadelphia swept the Dodgers last month at Citizens Bank Park, outscoring them 19-5 in three games. The Phillies lead the NL with a plus-99 run differential, though they’ve struggled of late. Sunday’s 6-0 shutout of Seattle snapped a six-game losing streak.
The Phillies remain one of the betting favorites in spite of those issues, priced +550 to win the World Series. Only the Dodgers (+330) and Yankees (+500) have better odds. The Dodgers are also +170 NL favorites.
What can bettors expect? Here’s our Phillies-Dodgers matchup tips.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Information & Pick
- How to Watch: MLB Network
- Previous Meeting: The Philadelphia Phillies beat the Los Angeles Dodgers 5-1 on July 11, 2024.
Philadelphia Phillies vs Los Angeles Dodgers Odds
Before our Phillies betting analysis and Dodgers game predictions, the updated MLB odds:
Oddsmakers have installed the Dodgers as -134 favorites, which isn’t surprising considering they’re turning to their ace in Glasnow. The Dodgers are 11-8 in his starts, including 8-4 at home.
Los Angeles’ 34 home wins are tied for third-most in baseball, behind Philadelphia (38) and Cleveland (35).
Be sure to remember that when assessing our insider MLB picks.
Philadelphia Phillies vs Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview
Philadelphia Phillies: First-Place Club Hopes to Reverse Recent Struggles
- Aaron Nola (11-4, 3.43 ERA): Nola fared well against the Dodgers last month, limiting them to one run over six innings in a 5-1 win. He gave up only four hits and struck out nine, one shy of his season-high.
- Nola’s 15 quality starts are tied for sixth-most in baseball.
- Key Injuries: Left-hander Ranger Suarez (10-5, 2.87 ERA) remains on the 15-day injured list because of lower back soreness. Suarez was slated to throw a bullpen session either Sunday or Monday, though he remains unlikely to be activated when first eligible.
- Betting Trends: The total has gone Over in five of Philadelphia’s last six games, moving its record against the Over/Under to 51-55-5. That includes 25-25-2 away from home. That’s important to keep in mind when analyzing our Phillies-Dodgers matchup tips.
Los Angeles Dodgers: Injuries No Obstacle
- Tyler Glasnow (8-6, 3.50 ERA): Glasnow struggled a bit in July, turning in a 5.00 ERA across three starts. He also spent time on the IL with a back injury.
- Despite those struggles, Glasnow ranks fourth in WHIP (0.96) and fifth in strikeouts (155).
- Star first baseman Freddie Freeman could be close to a return. Freeman has been away from the team for a week while on the family emergency list, with Cavan Biggio starting in his absence.
- Meanwhile, shortstop Mookie Betts has begun taking batting practice as he recovers from a fractured hand. Obviously, his return is further out.
- Betting Trends: The Dodgers are 58-53-1 against the Over/Under, including 4-1 in their last five games. They’ve hit the Over in 57.4% of their home games.
Pitchers’ Duel on Tap
Both teams are potent offensively, ranking top 10 in both runs and homers. It’s no wonder they’re among the betting favorites to win the World Series.
Despite recent trends, look for pitching to dominate the action in Monday’s series opener. Glasnow and Nola are two of baseball’s best arms, and they’ll be up to the task at Dodger Stadium. Thus, we’re taking the Under for at -108 odds for our Phillies-Dodgers matchup tip.
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