Brewers 7-1 at Home With Rea on the Mound
The Pirates’ injuries starting rotation has caught up with the team, which still hasn’t named its starter for tonight’s game. The most logical choice is Quinn Priester, who has made two rehab starts in AAA, including a five-inning stint last Tuesday where he fanned six and allowed one run.
Milwaukee also has some injuries to its starting rotation, but is in good shape tonight with Colin Rea taking the mound. Rea is 8-2 with a 3.34 ERA. The Brewers are 11-4 when Rea takes the mound and 7-1 when he starts at home. The lone loss did come to these same Pittsburgh Pirates in May. Milwaukee has won five of the last six times Rea has taken the mound. The Pirates vs Brewers betting odds and picks have Rea a good-sized favorite.
Although a bit high, the odds on Rea are reasonable, considering his record at home and Pittsburgh’s pitching indecision. It’s still tough to lay -165 on a game. The best value play for your MLB free picks today is going to be the under 8.5 runs at -115.
Pirates vs Brewers Information & Pick
Pittsburgh Pirates (43-47) vs Milwaukee Brewers (53-38)
Location: American Family Field, Milwaukee, Wisconsin
Date & Time: Tuesday, July 9, 8:10 p.m. EST
Where to Watch: Bally Sports Wisconsin, SportsNet-PIT
Pirates vs Brewers Picks
- Pick: Under 8.5 runs (-115)
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Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers Odds
1Moneyline:
Pittsburgh Pirates +140
Milwaukee Brewers -165
2Total:
8 -105/-115
3Runline:
Pittsburgh Pirates +1½ (+145)
Milwaukee Brewers -1½ (-160)
The Brewers are -165 over the Pirates, but the MLB Odds today could change once the Pirates officially name their starter. The line hasn’t shown much movement since it opened. The total has held steady, as has the runline.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
Starting Pitchers
If the Pirates do give the ball to Priester, they’ll be starting a pitcher who was 0-5 with a 4.83 ERA. He received absolutely no help from his teammates, however, as Pittsburgh scored eight runs in his six starts. He will likely be on a limited pitch count if he makes the start here. The Pirates tend to play it safe with their young pitchers.
Rea has been brilliant this season and the Brewers scored 5.2 runs when he takes the mound, according to the MLB player stats. He isn’t an overpowering pitcher, with 66 strikeouts in 94 1/3 innings, but he allows fewer hits than innings pitched and has good control. He does allow a few home runs, but he has done better this season. The Pirates vs Brewers betting odds and picksare undervaluing Rea a little bit.
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Pittsburgh Pirates: Offense Manages to Score Runs
The Pittsburgh Pirates don’t rank very highly in any of the offensive stats, but still come close to the league average in scoring. Pittsburgh is No. 24 in team batting average, No. 19 in home runs, and No. 25 in on-base percentage. Still, Pittsburgh is scoring 4.1 runs per game, just a shade below the league average of 4.4 runs per game. On the road, Pittsburgh is averaging 4.2 runs.
Key Injuries
Two of Pittsburgh’s starters, Jared Jones and Bailey Falter, have both been placed on the 15-day Injury List within the past five days. That has Pittsburgh doing some juggling of its starting rotation until the All-Star Break.
Betting Trends
Pittsburgh is just 16-26 after a victory. That record falls to 3-8 as an away underdog after a win. The Pirates are 5-9 after scoring eight or more runs.
Milwaukee Brewers: Bullpen Carrying the Load
The Milwaukee offense has been pretty good this season, with the team ranked No. 8 in scoring. The Brewers are No. 9 in team ERA, but the bullpen has been one of the best in the game. Milwaukee’s bullpen is No. 3 in team ERA with a solid 3.29 ERA, and the team is 32 for 42 in save opportunities. The Brewers are in good shape if the game’s close in the late innings.
Key Injuries
Milwaukee is getting closer to having a few pitchers return to the team. DL Hall will make one more rehab start with Nashville and could be called back to the team. Joe Ross will make a rehab start on Saturday as he works his way back to the rotation. Milwaukee has five starters out with injuries.
Betting Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers are an impressive 22-8 as a home favorite this season. When Milwaukee is favored -150 or more, the record improves to 10-3. The Brewers have gone 12-5 as a home favorite after winning their previous game.
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Rea Looking to Make Amends
After having a rough outing against the Pirates at home in May, Rea should be much better tonight. When he’s on his game, he can keep hitters off-balance. The Pirates vs Brewers betting odds and picks aren’t quite giving Rea the respect he deserves for what he’s done this season. A solid effort will help the under 8.5 runs.
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