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MLB Picks

San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies Odds, Picks, Predictions

The San Diego Padres and Philadelphia Phillies will go head-to-head in an important Game 3 in Philadelphia on Friday night. The Phillies and Padres enter the game all knotted up at one apiece. 

The winner of Game 3 will earn a major leg up in the series without question. The Padres are favored despite playing on the road, but the Phillies certainly feature no shortage of upset potential

The first pitch is scheduled for 7:37 PM EST on Friday, October 21, 2022. Let’s take a look at the NL Low vs NL High odds and predictions..

Padres vs. Phillies Odds Breakdown

The Padres travel to Philadelphia as their favorite. Their favored status stems from their starting pitching advantage, as Joe Musgrove will toe the rubber against Ranger Suarez. 

Musgrove (more on him later) has been effective for San Diego and provides the team with a strong chance of getting the job done. 

Phillies’ Offense

The Phillies’ offense is capable of ruining outings for even the best of pitchers, so Friday’s game could be an unpredictable one in that sense. 

With Game 3 on the MLB schedule slated for Philadelphia, the home crowd will play a vital role in helping the Phillies pull off the upset. Let’s take a closer look at the NL Low vs NL High odds.

San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

Joe Musgrove as Starter

Joe Musgrove has been electric for San Diego in the MLB Playoffs. After pitching to the tune of a 2.93 ERA during the regular season, the right-hander has followed that up with a 1.38 through a pair of playoff appearances

Through 13 innings, he’s surrendered just two earned runs while striking out 13 and winning one game. San Diego believes in his ability to lead them to victory. 

Musgrove will be in for a difficult task against a very potent Phillies lineup. Left-handed hitters like Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber may give him trouble. Musgrove has the ability to paint the corners while utilizing his fastball in an efficient manner. 

Ranger Suarez taking the Mound

Meanwhile, Ranger Suarez pitched to the tune of a 3.65 ERA throughout the regular season. Suarez has a 2.70 ERA in the playoffs. He’s pitched 3.1 innings of 1-run baseball

However, he walked five in his previous playoff effort. Suarez will need to keep runners off base in this one. 

San Diego is a ball club that feeds off of momentum. If they can get runners on base, the Padres tend to do damage. Suarez needs to throw strikes and make the Padres earn their way on base. 

The Phillies will have a short leash on the left-hander. The bullpen will be ready to roll after receiving an off day on Thursday. Don’t be surprised to see Philadelphia utilize its relief core early on. 

San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

After reviewing the NL Low vs NL High odds, it is time to make our official betting prediction for this game. 

Fortunately, the MLB injury report won’t play much of a role in this game. Both teams are fairly healthy, with the exception of a few players. 

Can Philadelphia Upset San Diego at Citizens Bank Park?

The Phillies’ bullpen will keep them in the game regardless of how Suarez pitches unless he gets completely lit up.

Assuming he fares decently well, the Phillies’ lineup will take care of the rest. Their patience will force Musgrove into a shorter start than usual. 

In the end, I like the Phillies as the home underdog pick. Most people’s sports picks will revolve around taking San Diego due to their starting pitching advantage. But home-field advantage plays a huge role in the playoffs. 

And the Phillies are also a team that feeds off of the home crowd’s energy. Ranger Suarez isn’t a bad pitcher by any means and may turn in a quality outing as well. 

Go ahead and roll with the Philadelphia Phillies +1.5 with your MLB NLCS betting selection for this Friday night affair.

MLB Pick: Phillies +15 (-170)

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