Yankees vs Orioles Betting Odds and Picks
The New York Yankees are in a significant slump. They had led the AL East for most of the season. But now they’re two games back of the Orioles after going 3-7 in their last ten games.
But you know what would heal the wounds? A series win over the Orioles before the All-Star break.
The Yankees will call on Gerrit Cole to set the tone in the opening game. Cole hasn’t looked good this season. So far, he’s got a 6.75 ERA since returning to the mound. But he’s told media that he believes he’s getting closer to being his dominant self.
Sportsbooks believe he will get back to his regular form. Despite being on the road, the Yankees are -116 on the moneyline against the Baltimore Orioles. On the other hand, the total is set at 9, but the Under is juiced to -118.
Check out the Yankees vs Orioles betting odds and picks for Game 1 of this rivalry AL East series.
Yankees vs Orioles Information
New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles
Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
Date & Time: Friday, July 12, 7:05 pm ET
Where to Watch: MASN, YES
Yankees vs Orioles Picks
- Pick: Over 9 (-102)
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Yankees vs Orioles Odds
Before we get to the Yankees vs Orioles betting odds and picks, check out the Free MLB odds at BetUS below.
Moneyline:
New York Yankees -116
Baltimore Orioles +106
Total:
9 O -102 / U -118
Runline:
New York Yankees -1.5 +135
Baltimore Orioles +1.5 -155
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview
Starting Pitchers
Gerrit Cole (1-1, 6.75 ERA)
- Gerrit Cole has only faced 79 batters this season.
- The right-hander veteran has allowed a .275 ISO and wOBA of .409 to those 79 batters.
- Cole has only struck out 15.6% of righties to begin the season.
Cade Povich (1-3, 6.51 ERA)
- Cade Povich has earned only 14.4% of strikeouts this season.
- The left-hander has allowed a .239 ISO and wOBA of .365 to his first 125 batters faced this season.
- Povich has allowed more fly balls than ground balls induced this year.
While Gerrit Cole is a former Cy Young winner, he hasn’t been good since he returned from injury. Cole has struggled to earn strikeouts against righties and has allowed many fly balls against lefties.
On the other hand, the Orioles aren’t getting much out of Cade Povich. The young left-hander has been awful against both sides of the plate, with a 6.51 ERA on the season.
Team Analysis
New York Yankees
The Yankees are waiting for Giancarlo Stanton to return to the starting lineup as a DH. He’s expected to return shortly after the All-Star Break.
They’ll need his bat. The Yankees have struggled to find consistent offense, and the pitching hasn’t been much better.
Baltimore Orioles
The Orioles should make a splash at the MLB Trade Deadline coming up. They’ll want to add another reliable starter and potentially some bullpen help.
Kyle Bradish was just played on the 60-day injured list. Tyler Wells and Danny Coulombne just underwent surgery a month ago for injuries.
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The New York Offense Will Wake Up
The New York Yankees have only hit a .164 ISO and wOBA of .306 against lefties over the last month. Juan Soto, Aaron Judge, Gleyber Torres, and Jahmai Jones have hit lefties consistently. However, the rest of the lineup hasn’t.
That said, the Yankees are facing lefty Cade Povich, who can’t seem to get anyone out. He’s allowed a .243 ISO and wOBA of .357 to righties and has given up a .227 ISO and wOBA of .380 to lefties. Additionally, he’s earned only 14.4% of strikeouts and has allowed 10.4% of walks.
The Yankees’ projected lineup has been patient at the plate, earning 12.3% of walks against lefties over the last 30 days.
Ultimately, any big-league lineup should have success against Povich right now. Remember that when reviewing the Yankees vs Orioles betting odds and picks.
Can’t Trust Cole Yet
At IBD, we’re numbers guys. Gerrit Cole hasn’t produced at all this returning to the mound. The right-handed ace has allowed a .275 ISO and wOBA of .409 over the last month. He’s also added 24.1% of strikeouts and 10.1% of walks.
Furthermore, Cole has allowed more fly balls than ground balls induced and has given up 26% of line drives.
That doesn’t pass the eye test at all.
Meanwhile, the Orioles have smacked a .216 ISO and wOBA of .371 with their projected lineup over the last month against righties. The same lineup has struck out 18.5% of the time and earned 8% of walks.
Gunnar Henderson, Anthony Santander, Jordan Westburg, Heston Kjerstad, and Cedric Mullins have established elite numbers against righties. What’s stopping them from being just as good against Cole right now?
Cole is putting up numbers that would get other pitchers released and demoted.
You’ll want to consider the Over 9 in a game between two pitchers with ERA’s above 6. It’s our best MLB pick today.
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