Yankees vs. Red Sox Betting Analysis & Prediction

Pick Analysis

It’s been an embarrassing last couple of months for the Yankees.

After a terrific start to the season, the New York Yankees have gone 20-25. They’ve also lost four of their last ten MLB games and were just swept in a two-game series against the New York Mets at home.

Yet, despite the struggles, the New York Yankees are still 60-44 on the season and only 1.5 games back from first place in the AL East. They can still turn things around.

Meanwhile, they’ll visit the Boston Red Sox in a three-game series this weekend. The Red Sox are 54-47 and have been among the more surprising teams in the MLB this season. Boston wasn’t projected to be in the playoff race, but they’re right in the thick of things.

They’ll look to try and take advantage of a reeling Yankees squad this weekend. In the series’ first game, the Yankees will roll with Nestor Cortes, while the Red Sox will give Brayan Bello the ball.

Bello has a higher ERA but has won many more games than Cortes this season. Will that stand true for Game 1 of the series?

Oddsmakers have the Yankees listed as favorites, sitting at -126. Meanwhile, the total for this game is currently 9.5, with the Over juiced to -122.

Let’s break down the Yankees vs Red Sox betting odds for this first matchup between these two AL East rivals.

Bet only what you can afford to lose. If you have a problem with that, please visit NCPG website or call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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Yankees vs. Red Sox Betting Analysis

New York will give Nestor Cortes the start to begin the three-game series against the Red Sox. Cortes is a lefty pitcher who has allowed a .438 ISO and wOBA of .493 to his last 72 righties. As a left-handed pitcher, Cortes mostly faced right-handed bats. That hasn’t worked out well for him lately.

In addition, Cortes has allowed 57.4% of hard contact to righties and has earned only 15.3% of strikeouts in the last 30 days. He’s also watched righties hit more than 35% of fly balls, with only 37% of ground balls induced over the previous month.

Meanwhile, the Boston Red Sox will counter with Brayan Bello. He’s allowed a .187 ISO and wOBA of .372 to his last 117 batters. However, he’s also added more than 25% of strikeouts and has earned 43.6% of ground balls in the previous 30 days. Beyond that, Bello has kept walks down to 6.8% and has allowed just 16.7% of fly balls.

If he continues to put up these stats, his ISO and wOBA numbers will improve over time.

Yankees vs. Red Sox Odds

Take a look at the Yankees vs Red Sox betting odds for today’s game:

Yankees vs. Red Sox Betting Preview & Updates

The Yankees and Red Sox are expected to be buyers by the MLB Trade Deadline later this month. Both teams have had solid seasons but have struggled recently. Adding new pieces to the roster should keep both teams afloat.

Below, we’ll add our MLB expert picks today for this rivalry game on Friday.
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Yankees vs. Red Sox Recent Scores

Before we dissect the Yankees vs Red Sox betting odds, let’s look at the recent games from the Yankees and Red Sox over the last week.

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Yankees Analysis:

Red Sox Analysis:

Yankees vs. Red Sox Betting Prediction

The Boston Red Sox typically don’t hit lefties very well. Rob Refsnyder and Tyler O’Neill have added some power. Connor Wong is also a right-handed bat with some power against righties. You can even count Romy Gonzalez as a good hitter against left-handed pitching. But nobody has been sensational against lefties in the Red Sox lineup against lefties.

Meanwhile, the Yankees have a few more electric bats in the lineup. Juan Soto and Aaron Judge have destroyed righties over the last 30 days. Austin Wells has also hit a .348 ISO and wOBA of .406 against righties over the previous month. Even with the game in Fenway, our best MLB bets today include the Yankees on the moneyline at -126.

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