With a PFL event coming this week in Atlanta, Georgia, let’s take a look at a main card bout in the light heavyweight division. Norwegian fighter Marthin Hamlet will be meeting Tongan Sam Kei, fighting out of Australia, Thursday night.
Read along for the breakdown of this fight and an official Hamlet vs Kei prediction before making your bets.
Marthin Hamlet vs. Sam Kei Information
Marthin Hamlet vs Sam Kei
Location of the fight: Elite Arena, Atlanta, GA.
Date and Time: Thursday, June 8. 6:30 PM ET.
How to Watch: DAZN (Europe), ESPN+
Last Fight Record
Hamlet is fresh off a submission victory in April of this year over Mohammad Fakhreddine.
Kei fought on the same April card as Hamlet, losing his bout via submission to Joshua Silveira.
Marthin Hamlet vs. Sam Kei Betting Analysis
Norwegian fighter Marthin Hamlet will be meeting Tongan Sam Kei. Let’s take a quick look at some recent stats.
Marthin Hamlet Facts to Know
Hamlet is a 31-year-old fighter with a professional record of 11-4, with three TKO/KO wins and four submissions. He is looking to break his streak of going 1-1 in PFL regular seasons and earn a spot in the playoffs with momentum.
Coming in with a wrestle-heavy style, Hamlet has a very high percentage of takedowns landed. This season he is 2/2; in 2022, he was 9/10; and in 2021, he was 6/8 in takedown attempts while fighting for PFL, according to MMA stats. Most of his work comes from the top position on the ground, where he looks for ground-and-pound strikes and submissions.
Sam Kei Facts to Know
Kei has had a tough go at the PFL in his first two bouts. After being simply ran through in that last two fights, Kei comes into this fight week with a record of 8-7 in his professional career. You can tell he is a strong kid; he just lacks in the technical side of fighting.
The Tonga-born, Australian-trained might be looking at his last chance to stay in this promotion. Other than his PFL fights, there really isn’t much to look at from this kid. We don’t even know his age or how he fought regionally in Australia.
Key Injuries & Updates
No injuries have been reported to the PFL.
Over 12 fighters have been suspended by the PFL due to banned substances, according to multiple MMA news sources.
Marthin Hamlet vs. Sam Kei Betting Preview
Unfortunately, this fight has a very wide margin between the moneylines of each fighter. Hamlet is the massive -1250 betting favorite over the +850 Kei. Honestly, no professional MMA fight at this level should have a -1250 favorite.
Even if this fight is super one-sided after breaking down our Hamlet vs Kei prediction analysis, there will still be two professional fighters weighing about 220 lbs in the cage with 4-ounce gloves on. The risk of injury is massive, and it truly only takes one clean punch in those gloves to end someone’s night early.
If you are looking to bet on MMA, the most interesting betting line is the over 1.5 rounds being +160. Those are very valuable odds for someone to survive 7.5 minutes in the cage. Also, Hamlet winning by TKO/KO at +300 is very valuable.
Marthin Hamlet vs. Sam Kei Betting Prediction
With the betting analysis showing us the writing on the wall, it is no secret that the prediction will be Hamlet getting his hand raised on Thursday night.
For the best Hamlet vs Kei prediction, you should go with Hamlet winning inside the distance and for the over to hit. If Kei survives the wrestling attack and submission attempts for 1.5 rounds, you cash in at +160 odds.
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