UFC 273 features one of the most stacked cards for 2022 so far. An excellent co-main event rematch between bantamweights Aljamain Sterling and Petr Yan has almost the same amount of attention as the main event.
For UFC betting, it makes it more attractive to see two exciting fighters compete. Check out below to see the latest UFC picks for this matchup.
Matchup Information
- Sat, Apr 9, 10:00 PM
- VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena, Jacksonville, FL
- Watch on PPV
Most Recent Fights
Sterling:
- Win against Petr Yan by DQ
- Win against Cory Sandhagen by submission
- Win against Pedro Munhoz by unanimous decision
Yan:
- Win against Cory Sandhagen by unanimous decision
- Loss to Aljamain Sterling due to an illegal knee
- Win against Jose Aldo by KO/TKO
Aljamain Sterling vs Petr Yan Betting Analysis
Aljamain Sterling Betting Analysis
Aljamain Sterling has had a great start to his UFC career, going 12-3 under the banner. This will be his first title defense after his run-in with Petr Yan.
Since that battle was a controversial way for Yan to lose his belt, the two immediately were able to schedule a rematch. Fans have agreed that Sterling should prove himself for the belt and that he needs to make a statement victory.
He has put together 10 total early stoppages, with two of them by knockout and eight by submission. He only landed one takedown in their first battle, so submission is not likely here.
Former welterweight champion and jiu-jitsu black belt Matt Serra helped train Sterling to become the fighter that he is today. He has a well-rounded approach to fighting, but he will need to bring everything he has to get a true victory.
Petr Yan Betting Analysis
Yan has been impressive in his UFC career too, posting an 8-1 record with his only loss coming by a disqualification. The last time he lost a fight was back before his UFC days in 2016.
He has been on a tear in the UFC odds as he has won his first seven fights and overwhelmed previous bantamweight champ Jose Aldo in their matchup. In fact, he powered through Aldo in that fight 194 to 83 when looking at significant strikes landed.
His fighting style is a bit different than most competitors. He typically gets a feel for fighters in the first round to get a better understanding before coming up with a plan, so the first round is usually a “test”.
Yan was able to land seven takedowns and had control of the fight early on that would have potentially led to his victory. He now has a great opportunity to earn his belt back.
Team updates:
- Sterling has not fought since their previous match, so many have wondered if he has improved.
- Yan promises to beat the living “mess” out of Sterling.
- For this sports betting guide, the latest UFC betting odds show that Petr Yan is a heavy favorite to earn his belt back.
Aljamain Sterling vs Petr Yan Betting Preview
Even though their first encounter ended poorly for Yan, he showcases the best opportunity to win. Yan had total control of the fight shortly after the first round.
He actually composed a higher percentage of significant strikes (62 percent vs. 42 percent) despite Sterling physically landing more hits. In addition, Yan was perfect with all seven of his takedown attempts.
Yan was close to knocking out Sterling a few times and if he would have chosen a different striking method instead of that illegal knee, that fight would have arguably ended there.
Aljamain Sterling vs Petr Yan Betting Prediction
Based on the preview above, Yan is the man that should be wearing that belt. He will definitely assert his dominance this time around and rightfully take back what is his.
Freak mistakes like this do not happen often, especially since this was the first time in UFC history that someone was a new champion due to a disqualification. Again, Yan was on the verge of winning that fight and had already won multiple rounds of it would have gone to a decision.
When you look at the odds to bet you might want to consider a method of victory from Yan, such as KO/ TKO. However, picking Yan to win outright might be a great addition to your parlay.
How to Bet on Aljamain Sterling vs Petr Yan
Depending on the sportsbook of choice, one might see different odds compared to the market. Below are the average moneyline odds for this fight:
Sterling: +350
Yan: -450
One of the more compelling options to consider is a KO/TKO victory from Yan. These odds have averages around +150 for him to accomplish that feat.
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