Overview
Paddy “The Baddy” Pimblett takes on Rodrigo “Kazula” Vargas in the next UFC Fight Night. Both fighters have respectable resumes and should put forth an entertaining fight.
This could be one of the more interesting fights on the main card, as Pimblett tries to prove himself again while Vargas is in desperation mode.
Below you can see our UFC betting preview along with some UFC picks at the end.
Most Recent Fights
Pimblett:
- Win against Decky Dalton by TKO
- Win against Davide Martinez by submission
- Win against Luigi Vendramini by KO (UFC debut)
Vargas:
- Loss to Alex da Silva Coelho by unanimous decision
- Loss to Brok Weaver by DQ (illegal knee)
- Win against Zhu Rong by unanimous decision
Matchup Information
- March 19, 2022
- London, England
- O2 Arena (ENG)
Pimblett vs Vargas Betting Analysis
Pimblett Betting Analysis
Pimblett has a three-fight winning streak in his favor and has yet to lose a battle by an early finish. He recently made the jump from Cage Warriors to the UFC in his most recent battle against Vendramini.
He was able to land almost double the amount of significant strikes compared to his opponent, which allowed him to control the pace of the fight. If he continues to land strikes at that rate, he could be a deadly force to rise in the rankings.
Throughout most of his career, Pimblett has faced quality competition that has challenged him. Lately, he has been getting experienced fighters to match up with, and he has handled himself accordingly.
Vargas Betting Analysis
Vargas finally broke his two-fight skid with his victory against Rong. So far in the UFC, he has posted mixed results and has gone 1-2 in three battles.
He has actually looked decent in his fights, as he has not been outstriked even in his losses. He appeared to be on track to win his fight against Weaver, but the illegal knee ruined that fun.
Looking at his career so far, Vargas has consistently battled quality opponents that have led to his success. Early in his career, he has only suffered one submission loss, and the rest have been decisions.
Updates
- Pimblett got in a brief altercation with another fighter, Ilia Topuria, at their hotel recently
- Vargas believes Pimblett is a “kid” and is potentially overrated
- Pimblett has a lot of hype and is the favorite to win
Pimblett vs Vargas Betting Preview
Pimblett only has one UFC fight on his resume, so his stats are not the best measurement to go by just yet. The only thing you can take away from his current stats is that he was able to land 58 percent of his strikes and was able to defend against significant strikes at 50 percent.
As for Vargas, he has three battles on the UFC banner, and you can see a little bit more detail on his stats. So far, he has landed 3.85 significant strikes each minute while absorbing 1.88.
In addition, his striking accuracy is at 53 percent, while his defense against significant strikes is at 58 percent. He does not have much ground action to worry about, so this fight will most likely stay standing.
Pimblett vs Vargas Betting Prediction
Vargas is determined to not let a “kid” like Pimblett beat him. He knows that Pimblett is talented, but he has pointed out flaws in his style.
As for Pimblett, he does have a tendency to lay it all out there and even provoke fighters. If this is part of his plan to get into Vargas’s head, then it worked.
Pimblett impressed in his debut, and he has another shot to impress once again. If he can control the pace and keep Vargas backing up, then this fight could end early. Look for Pimblett to score a TKO.
How to Bet on Pimblett vs Vargas
The sports betting guides are buying into the hype by Pimblett, and fans want to see his explosive hands end another battle early. On average, UFC betting odds have heavily favored Pimblett and Vargas at:
Pimblett: -410
Vargas: +310
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