NASCAR Cup Series: Xfinity 500 Betting Analysis and Prediction

Martin Truex Jr. showed brief signs of life by claiming pole position before dropping off, but teammate Christopher Bell took the low line and the lead on lap 16, winning at Homestead-Miami and claiming a spot in the Championship Four. Bell was followed to the finish by Ryan Blaney, Tyler Reddick, William Byron, and A.J. Allmendinger, completing the top five.

The NASCAR schedule has reached its penultimate race, where the Cup Series playoff drivers have their last chances to secure or win their spot in the Championship Four.

Insiders Betting Digest’s Xfinity 500 betting analysis has you covered, finding our picks for top-five finishers at Martinsville’s Fall race.

NASCAR Cup Series: Xfinity 500 Race Odds

Here are the NASCAR odds for our favorites in our Xfinity 500 betting analysis:

Alongside our NASCAR predictions for top five drivers, Toyota (+110) and Chevrolet (+135) are the likely winning manufacturers at Martinsville, with Ford (+450) a longshot.

Everything You Need to Know About Xfinity 500

NASCAR Cup Series: Xfinity 500 | 500 Laps (263 mi) 

Stage 1/2: 130 laps | Final Stage: 240 laps.

Location of the race: Martinsville Speedway. Ridgeway, Virginia

Date and Time: Sunday, October 29th, 2023, 2:00 PM ET

How to Watch: NBC, Peacock, TSN, NASCAR Live

Recent Results

• Martinsville’s two annual races give us significant past data and previous winners to consider for our Xfinity 500 betting analysis.
• Joe Gibbs Racing’s Denny Hamlin has five career wins in Virginia, with two wins in Fall NASCAR races at Martinsville (2009, 2010). Hamlins’ teammates have each won at Martinsville, with Playoff Driver Martin Truex Jr. winning in 2019 and Championship Four driver Christoper Bell winning in 2022.
• Richard Childress Racing’s Kyle Busch won in 2017.
• Hendrick Motorsports won back-to-back races at Martinsville, with Chase Elliott landing on Victory Lane in 2020 and Alex Bowman following suit in 2021.
• Team Penske’s Joey Logano was the last Ford to win Martinsville’s Fall race, winning in 2018.
• Championship Four driver Kyle Larson won the Cup Series’ Spring stop at Martinsville, with Logano, Truex Jr., Hamlin, and Chase Briscoe completing the top five.

Ready, Set, Go! Xfinity 500 Betting Preview

Hendrick Motorsports

Kyle Larson won his way into the Championship Four by winning everything in Las Vegas. Larson led the most laps at Homestead and won stage one, but a crash into the pit-lane water barrel barrier resulted in a 34th-place position. Larson’s likely to be strong at Martinsville, having one win and three top-five finishes in his last five races.

William Byron still sits atop the NASCAR points standings and has one win, five top-four, and seven top-ten finishes in eight playoff races. Byron has one win and three top-five finishes in his last seven races at Martinsville.

Will Hamlin Move Closer to a Cup Series Championship at Martinsville?

Denny Hamlin is the best driver never to win the NASCAR Cup Series Championship. While currently seventh in the Cup Series standings, Hamlin’s history at Martinsville makes him a favorite for Sunday. Having five wins, 18 top-five, and 24 top-ten finishes in 35 career races at Martinsville.

The Longshot: Ryan Blaney

Ryan Blaney is the underdog with the best chance to put a Ford in the Championship Four. He is currently third in the points standings. Blaney has four top-five and five top-ten finishes in the last seven races at Martinsville.

NASCAR Cup Series: Xfinity 500 Betting Picks

• Pick 1: Insiders Betting Digest’s Xfinity 500 betting analysis has Denny Hamlin winning his way into the Championship Four at Martinsville.
• Pick 2: Byron, Blaney, Bell, and Larson completing the top five.

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