FireKeepers Casino 400 Pick Analysis
The NASCAR Cup Series visits Michigan International Speedway on Sunday for the 2024 FireKeepers Casino 400. The two-mile oval will provide a completely different racing experience than we saw at Richmond Raceway last week. Ford has dominated the race in the past, winning the last nine NASCAR races schedule, including Chris Buescher last year, when the race was held over two days due to the weather.
Despite Ford’s dominance of the event, Kyle Larson enters the race as a slight favorite. The FireKeepers Casino 400 NASCAR odds have Larson at +550. He’s won three times here in the past, although his last victory came in 2017. The track hosted two NASCAR Cup Series events for a number of years before seeing just one race annually in 2021.
While Ford has been winning, it hasn’t been a complete runaway. Toyotas finished second and third last year, and Larson’s fifth-place finish was the highest among Chevrolet drivers. The NASCAR odds on Larson aren’t bad this week, and it could be time to ride with the favorite instead of trying to beat him. Bet Larson at +550.
Odds to win FireKeepers Casino 400
Driver | Odds to Win |
---|---|
Kyle Larson | +550 |
Denny Hamlin | +600 |
Ryan Blaney | +650 |
Tyler Reddick | +700 |
Brad Keselowski | +900 |
Christopher Bell | +1000 |
Martin Truex Jr. | +1000 |
Joey Logano | +1000 |
Chase Elliott | +1200 |
William Byron | +1200 |
Chris Buescher | +1600 |
Ty Gibbs | +1600 |
Bubba Wallace | +2000 |
Alex Bowman | +3000 |
Ross Chastain | +4000 |
Kyle Busch | +4000 |
Daniel Suarez | +5000 |
FireKeepers Casino 400 Betting Analysis
The FireKeepers Casino 400 is a return to the traditional large ovals for NASCAR and one that doesn’t tend to favor one type of driver over another. The race should come down to whichever driver performs the best. Some drivers are still battling for playoff position and will be looking to score as many points as possible. Other drivers need a win to advance to the playoffs and will be taking a few more chances than normal, which makes for exciting racing.
Larson is the best overall driver in the game today and has a chance to prove it here. He doesn’t have any real weaknesses as a driver, and Michigan International Speedway is a track that doesn’t give one type of driver a significant advantage. It’s essentially a return to the roots of NASCAR, with the track having held its first NASCAR Cup Series race there in 1969.
Denny Hamlin has run well at the track the past couple of years, but has finished third both times. He’ll be a contender once again this year, but Larson has to rate a slight favorite over the two.
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FireKeepers Casino 400 Previous Winners and Betting Trends
Buescher was a massive +5000 longshot when he won last year’s race. Second-place finisher Martin Truex Jr. was +700, and third-place finisher Denny Hamlin was the slight favorite at +650.
Kevin Harvick was +2200 when he won the race in 2022. Bubba Wallace was second, followed by Hamlin. The last two years have shown it doesn’t matter what the FireKeepers Casino 400 NASCAR odds are, the victory will go to the driver and car that are working the best on race day.
FireKeepers Casino 400 Betting Picks
Bet Kyle Larson at +550 to win the NASCAR FireKeepers Casino 400. Most of the NASCAR predictions this week are looking to beat the favorite, but there are times the favorite makes the most sense. It’s not as though Larson is going off at low odds. The Firekeepers Casino 400 NASCAR odds on Larson of +550 are extremely fair here and offer some value on NASCAR’s most popular driver.
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