Cabo Wabo 250 Pick Analysis
The Xfinity Series returns to action on Saturday at Michigan International Speedway with the Cabo Wabo 250. Cole Custer has been installed as the +450 favorite, with last year’s winner, John Hunter Nemechek, the second betting choice at +500. The race looks like a toss-up, with the Cabo Wabo 250 NASCAR odds showing five drivers at +700 or shorter.
Custer has been strong this season and has nine top-five finishes in 19 starts. The track is one that should suit his style, although he didn’t have the best of runs in last year’s race, placing 16th.
Nemechek had a rough trip over the track in 2022 before rebounding to win last year. He’ll be a contender again and likely draw some action in the NASCAR picks today.
Justin Allgaier, Austin Hill, and Riley Herbst could all have a say in the outcome. Of the top five contenders, Hill offers a little bit of value for a top finish. Hill is +220 to finish in the top three and +125 to finish in the top five. He’s consistent and should fare well over the long Michigan International Speedway course, but will play it safe and take the +!25 on Hill to place in the top five.
Odds to win Cabo Wabo 250
Driver | Moneyline |
---|---|
Cole Custer | +450 |
John Hunter Nemechek | +500 |
Justin Allgaier | +550 |
Austin Hill | +700 |
Riley Herbst | +700 |
Sam Mayer | +1400 |
Jesse Love | +1400 |
AJ Allmendinger | +1400 |
Sheldon Creed | +1600 |
Chandler Smith | +1600 |
Noah Gragson | +2000 |
Brandon Jones | +2200 |
Sammy Smith | +2500 |
Taylor Gray | +2500 |
Carson Kvapil | +2800 |
Parker Kligerman | +3000 |
Ryan Sieg | +4000 |
Shane van Gisbergen | +7500 |
Cabo Wabo 250 Betting Analysis
This is the only stop at Michigan International Speedway on the NASCAR schedule for this year. NASCAR held two events over the track for several years until 2021 when it dropped to one. That’s one reason you tend to see a few of the Cup Series drivers dropping down into the race.
The Cabo Wabo 250 NASCAR odds have Custer favored for good reason. He’s leading the points standings and has been consistently good. He has just one win though, as it’s his consistency that has him leading the pack.
Hill has a pair of wins on the season and has finished in the top five on eight occasions in 20 races. That puts him in the top five in 40% of the races, but this is a track that should be to his liking. Hill has raced well enough over long courses and he has the potential to be up front battling for the lead. He might not take the checkered flag, but should be in the top five.
Cabo Wabo 250 Previous Winners and Betting Trends
Nemechek was the second choice in the betting odds last year when he won at +450. Ty Gibbs was the +400 favorite. Allgaier had odds of +500, Hill was +700 and Custer was right there at +800. Gibbs placed fourth in the race.
Gibbs won in 2022 when the race was called the New Holland 250. He was the second betting choice at +400 behind Allgaier, who was the favorite at +350.
Gibbs was the +320 favorite in 2021 when the race was won by A.J. Allmendinger. Gibbs finished a disappointing 13th in the race.
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Cabo Wabo 250 Betting Picks
Bet on Austin Hill to finish in the top five at odds of +125. The Cabo Wabo 250 NASCAR odds show a race that looks pretty even, although it’s not important if Hill wins. He just needs to finish in the top five and he’s shown he is a threat to do that consistently.
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