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Home▷F1▷Motorsports▷Predictions to win the F1 United States Grand Prix 2023

Predictions to win the F1 United States Grand Prix 2023

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KARIM JAAFAR / AFP

Max Verstappen exploited the RB-19’s race pace advantage to win the grueling Qatar Grand Prix, but McLaren’s Oscar Piastri shocked the grid and fans alike, earning his first of likely many career wins, holding Verstappen off to win the Qatar Sprint Race.

Both Qatar’s races ended with a Verstappen and two McLarens on the podium, a trend expected to continue for a third consecutive race.

F1 United States GPPicks
f1 Logo

Verstappen -450

The F1 season moves to the American continents for four of the final five races, making its first stop at Formula 1’s American home: Circuit of the Americas (CoTA) in Austin, Texas. Insiders Betting Digest has your United States Grand Prix predictions covered for both the Sprint and Grand Prix.

F1 United States Grand Prix Betting Odds

Here are the odds covering both races for Insiders Betting Digest’s United States Grand Prix predictions. We’re using F1 odds to win outright and finish sixth for the fifth Sprint race weekend on the 2023 F1 schedule.

Driver (Team) Odds to Win Sprint | Top Six Finish | Odds to Win GP | Top Six Finish
Max Verstappen (Red Bull Racing) -400 | -1200 | -450 | -1100
Lando Norris (McLaren) +1100 | -550 | +1200 | -550
Sergio Pérez (Red Bull Racing) +1800 | -400 | +1800 | -300
Lewis Hamilton (Mercedes) +2500 | -250| +2200 | -300
George Russell (Mercedes) +2500 | -250 | +2500 | -300
Charles Leclerc (Ferrari) +2200 | -190 | +2500 | -170
Fernando Alonso (Aston Martin) +6600 | +110 | +6600 | Even
Carlos Sainz (Ferrari) +2800 | -165 | +2800 | -165
Oscar Piastri (McLaren) +1200 | -550 | +1200 | +500

As for winning constructor, CoTA’s characteristics favor Red Bull (-550) and McLaren (+550), with McLaren as the only team likely to win instead of Verstappen and the RB-19.

Everything You Need to Know About F1 United States Grand Prix

United States Grand Prix | Circuit of the Americas: 56 laps (308.405 km/191.634 mi)

One Lap: 20 turns over 3.426 mi (5.513 KM)

Location of the race: Circuit of the Americas. Austin, TX.

Date and Time: Sprint: Saturday, October 21, 6:00 PM | Grand Prix: Sunday, October 22, 3:00 PM ET

How to Watch: F1TV, Sky Sports, ESPN, TSN, Nationally Specific Broadcast Partners

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Recent Results

  • Circuit of the Americas has been Formula 1’s American home since 2012, with three previous winners in the field.
  • Alfa Romero’s Valtteri Bottas won for Mercedes in 2019, while Mercedes’ Lewis Hamilton holds the record for most United States Grand Prix wins with six wins (2007, 2012, 2014-17).
  • The Reigning World Champion is looking for his third consecutive United States Grand Prix win, having won in 2021 and 2022.
  • CoTA is a significant challenge, featuring the best Turn One in Formula 1, Silverstone/Suzuka-inspired esses, a bumpy, undulating surface, and a tricky third sector defined by the Carousel turn closing a lap.

Ready, Set, Go! F1 United States Grand Prix Betting Preview

Another Verstappen Clean Sweep?

Looking at the formula 1 standings, Max Verstappen has only won two of the four Sprint races this season, with the Safety car playing a role in Qatar’s outcome. The only Red Bull-based question is if Verstappen will collect all the points or if someone can beat him to a Sprint Race pole position and win.

Verstappen will win the Grand Prix, but the RB-19 is vulnerable over one lap opening the door.

MAX VERSTAPPEN.

THREE-TIME WORLD CHAMPION! 👑👑👑 pic.twitter.com/IvcQOA5wu4

— Formula 1 (@F1) October 7, 2023

Another Mega Sprint Weekend for McLaren

McLaren has back-to-back double podium finishes, with Piastri’s Qatar Sprint pole and win as evidence that McLaren’s duo is the second-fastest car on the grid. Norris and Piastri will finish in the top six in both races but will fight Verstappen for both pole positions and the Sprint win.

While we’re big on Piastri, Norris has five top-three finishes in the last eight races and has been poised to break through for his first career win for years, never having the machinery to do it.

We took the first victory at @COTA! 🙌

Lewis Hamilton battled Sebastian Vettel to the line back in 2012! 💪🏆#USGP 🇺🇸pic.twitter.com/khGQhBrXE0

— McLaren (@McLarenF1) October 16, 2023

Who Will Win F1 United States Grand Prix?

Insiders Betting Digest’s United States Grand Prix predictions have Lando Norris winning the Sprint and Verstappen winning the Grand Prix.

Piastri, Hamilton, Sainz, and Russell completing our top-six in both races.

  • F1 Pick: Verstappen -450

If you love sports and want more sports betting information follow us as @InsidersBetDig on Twitter and sign up to our mailing list for free betting picks.

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