If there is one track on the Formula 1 calendar that the dominant Reb Bull RB-19 won’t be able to fully utilize its race pace, it’s the Montegasque Streets. With a racing history that predates the Formula 1 World Championship, the Circuit de Monaco provides a unique and difficult challenge for drivers, where millimeters will make the difference, and qualifying is all important.
We’ll review the odds and history while considering the impact of rain before making our Monaco Grand Prix predictions.
Formula 1 Monaco Grand Prix 2023 Betting Odds
Before we make our Monaco Grand Prix predictions, we need to review the odds to win and the odds for a top-six finish, the latter bringing immense value when you bet on F1.
| Driver (Team) | Odds to Win | Top 6 Finish |
| Max Verstappen (Red Bull Racing) | +120 | -500 |
| Sergio Pérez (Red Bull Racing) | +300 | -450 |
| Fernando Alonso (Aston Martin) | +500 | -350 |
| Charles Leclerc (Ferrari) | +350 | -400 |
| Lewis Hamilton (Mercedes) | +3300 | -230 |
| George Russell (Mercedes) | +3300 | -230 |
| Carlos Sainz (Ferrari) | +2000 | -330 |
There are many prop bet lines to explore. The top three constructors in the Monaco Grand Prix 2023 odds to win are Red Bull (-190) leading the way (as expected), followed by Ferrari (+275), and Aston Martin (+450).
We’re fading both Mercedes’ (+1400) chances of an upset win considering the raft of upgrades coming to the car that the team needs to learn and explore. When you bet on motorsports, you must consider all the information, like major shifts in aerodynamic philosophy or potential weather.
Everything You Need to Know About the F1 Monaco Grand Prix
Monaco Grand Prix | Circuit de Monaco
78 Laps (260.286 km/161.734 mi) | One Lap: 19 turns over 3.337 km (2.074 mi)
Location of the race: Monte Carlo, Monaco.
Date & Time: Sunday, May 28. 9:00 AM ET.
How to Watch: F1TV | Sky Sports | ESPN
Recent Results
The 2023 Monaco Grand Prix will be the 80th running of one of the longstanding Crown Jewels of motorsport, alongside the Indianapolis 500 and the 24 Hours of Le Mans.
With the first race held in 1929 and legends like Ayrton Senna, Michael Schumacher, Graham Hill, Juan Manuel Fangio, and Sir Jackie Stewart counted among the multiple-race winners at Monaco, the Monaco GP is on every F1 driver’s list of places where they want to win.
With a lengthy history comes named corners that become legends like Sainte Devote (turn 1), Massenet (turn three) to Casino (turn four), and the Piscine section (Swimming pool, turns 13-16), the fast left of Tabac (turn 12) and La Rascasse (turn 17)
Four current drivers have won the Monaco Grand Prix:
- Fernando Alonso won in 2007 and 2008.
- Lewis Hamilton has three wins (2008, 2016, 2019).
- The last two Monaco Grand Prix were won by Red Bull: Max Verstappen in 2021 and Sergio Pérez in 2022.
Who Will Win the F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
We have to factor in the potential of rain in Sunday’s weather forecast in our Monaco Grand Prix predictions, which could lead to mistakes and strategic advantages in pitstops, similar to Sergio Pérez and Carlos Sainz’s fortune – and Charles Leclerc’s continued misery at home, in the 2022 Monaco Grand Prix.
- Our Monaco Grand Prix 2023 picks start with taking Charles Leclerc to take pole position. Leclerc has repeatedly shown he’s the best single-lap driver in F1.
As for our Monaco Grand Prix 2023 pick to win the race, it depends on the rain. We know the RB-19 has a race-pace advantage that may be nullified by the Circuit de Monaco’s characteristics but remains the fastest car.
Add in potential rain, and we’re straying away from another likey Verstappen win, taking Fernando Alonso and his excellent race craft to get his first Grand Prix victory in over a decade, joining Alain Prost with four wins in Monaco.
If you love sports and want more sports betting information follow us as @InsidersBetDig on Twitter and sign up to our mailing list for free betting picks.
