Pick Analysis
The ninth round of the 2024 FIA World Rally Challenge begins Thursday with the start of Secto Rally Finland. The event has been a mainstay of WRC since its inception in 1973. The event will take place over four days with 20 stages. The ‘Gravel Grand Prix’ has become a favorite of fans and drivers alike. With its high-speed gravel stages and challenging technical sections, mistakes can be costly.
The race has traditionally been a tough one for Hyundai Shell Mobis World Rally Team, but it has had recent success. The Secto Rally Finland betting guide shows Hyundai has had one win and four podiums in the last three years.
Toyota Gazoo Racing has enjoyed plenty of success at Rally Finland, winning five of the last six events. The team’s TGR-WRT headquarters aren’t far from the service area in Jyväskylä, making this the home race for the team. TGR has five GR YARIS Rally1 HYBRID cars entered in the race. With the team’s success in Rally Finland, it makes sense for the WRC predictions to choose a Toyota.
Kalle Rovanperä has not won his home race in five attempts, but believe he finally gets it here. Bet Rovanperä at -111.

Odds to win Secto Rally Finland
Kuljettaja | Kertoimet |
---|---|
Kalle Rovanperä | -111 |
Ott Tänak | +325 |
Sébastien Ogier | +350 |
Elfyn Evans | +650 |
Thierry Neuville | +1200 |
Esapekka Lappi | +1200 |
Takamoto Katsuta | +2000 |
Adrien Fourmaux | +6600 |
Sami Pajari | +10000 |
Grégoire Munster | +50000 |
Secto Rally Finland Betting Analysis
The Secto Rally Finland betting guide shows both Hyundai and Toyota should be at their best. Hyundai is holding a one-point lead in the manufacturers’ standings after Toyota went 1-2 at the last two races on the WRC rally schedule. The team will have the usual pairings of Thierry Neuville/Martijn Wydaeghe, Ott Tänak/Martin Järveoja, and Esapekka Lappi/Janne Ferm.
Toyota will have its largest lineup with five GR YARIS Rally1 HYBRID entries. Kalle Rovanperä, Sébastien Ogier and defending champion Elfyn Evans should be major contenders.
The course being located near Toyota’s World Rally Team headquarters is a decent advantage for the team. It’s one they’ve been able to take advantage of in the past. Toyota has plenty of talented drivers and is making a big effort to keep its run of success at Rally Finland alive.
Rovanperä said he isn’t placing any additional stress on himself by racing in front of friends and family.
“I haven’t managed to get the very best result on Rally Finland but I don’t want to place any extra stress on achieving that,” Rovanperä said. “I just want to treat it like any other rally and try to do my best.”
Rovanperä isn’t having one of his best seasons. He’s in sixth place in the season standings and trails Neuville by 59 points. He has been a recent tear with wins at Poland and Latvia and now has the one race he probably wants to win more than any others on the schedule.
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Secto Rally Finland Previous Winners and Betting Trends
Toyota’s Rovanperä was a -200 favorite entering last year’s event, but it was teammate Evans who won for the second time. He and Scott Martin also won the event in 2021. The odds on Evans were an impressive +2400.
Rovanperä was also favored in 2022 when Tänak took the victory. Tänak also won in 2018 and 2019 as a member of Toyota. The 2020 race was canceled due to COVID-19.
Secto Rally Finland Betting Picks
Bet Kalle Rovanperä to win Secto Rally Finland at -111. The odds aren’t quite where you’d like them to be, but you can’t argue with Toyota’s recent success in the race. With Rovanperä firing on all cylinders, the Secto Rally Finland betting guide likes him to get that elusive win in front of the home fans.
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