Boston Celtics at Miami Heat Game 1 Betting Analysis and Prediction

There was serious momentum that the Boston Celtics may have been able to steal Game 1 in Miami. However, illness and injury took away some of the Celtics’ firepower before they took on the Miami Heat Tuesday night. Playing without Marcus Smart and Al Horford made life difficult on Boston.

While the Celtics built a eight-point halftime lead in Game 1, anyone who knows how to bet on NBA knew Miami would make a run after halftime. The Heat were able to do so, burying Boston in the third corner before eventually winning by 11 points. Each team will be eager to collect a victory, but Miami especially won’t want to give away anything on home court.

Last games records

Miami beat Boston 118-107 Tuesday night in Miami. The Heat leads the Eastern Conference Final 1-0.

Matchup information

Celtics at Heat Betting Analysis

Boston Betting Analysis

Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown were both excellent in Game 1 as they have been all postseason. Tatum scored 29 points, grabbed eight rebounds and handed out six assists. Brown finished with a double-double, scoring 24 points and recording 10 rebounds. NBA betting stats show the Celtics left too many good opportunities on the table.

Boston earned 32 trips to the free-throw line, but only converted on 75 percent of its opportunities. The Celtics also had a hard time getting into their rhythm on offense. Boston turned the ball over 16 times and had 12 of their shots blocked.

The Celtics 3-point shooting was marginal at best. Boston knocked down 32.4 percent of its outside shots. Boston did have a 48-40 edge in points in the paint and only were outrebounded by one, 39-38.

Miami Betting Analysis

Jimmy Butler didn’t waste any time establishing himself as Miami’s top threat in this series. Butler scored 41 points and had nine rebounds for the Heat. This was the second time this postseason Butler had gone over 40 points. He also scored 45 in one game against Atlanta in the first round.

Miami had four other players — Tyler Herro, Gabe Vincent, Max Strus and Bam Adebayo — scored in double figures. As a team, Miami shot 48.8 percent from the field. The Heat was also effective in getting to the free-throw line, making 88.2 percent (30-of-34) percent of their attempts.

The Heat will want to see better shooting from the perimeter. Miami only made 33.3 percent of its outside shots in Game 1. Keeping up with Boston will require more efficient shooting.


The Boston Celtics will be without Sam Hauser. Smart is listed as probable and Horford is listed as doubtful for Game 2. Miami will be without Kyle Lowry, who has a left hamstring strain. Max Strus and Gabe Vincent are also listed as questionable with hamstring injuries.

  • Boston is 51-40-3 against the spread.
  • Miami is 54-39-1 against the spread.
  • The over is 46-47-1 in the Celtics’ games this season.
  • The over is 51-42-1 in the Heat’s games this season.
  • Boston is 14-20 against the spread following a loss.
  • Miami is 34-27 against the spread following a win.

Celtics at Heat Betting Preview

NBA betting odds have Miami as a four-point favorite. The Heat are -177 on the moneyline, while the Celtics are +145. Anyone looking to make different kinds of NBA picks can bet on the over/under, which is set at 208 points.

Celtics at Heat Betting Prediction

This is a game where keeping an eye on the injury report is important. Without Smart and Horford, the Celtics struggled to keep up in the second half. Smart will be a game-time decision again. This is a series where both teams are likely to dig in and play defense for however, this series goes.

While Miami may not be the biggest team, the Heat have shown over and over again that they are one of the Eastern Conference’s best teams this year. While Miami doesn’t have the star power some other top contenders had over the past few seasons, the Heat showed in Game 1 they won’ be overwhelmed by opponents’ star power.

How to bet Celtics at Heat

Bet on Miami -4.

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