Dallas’ smackdown of top-seeded Phoenix on the road in Game 7 of the team’s Western Conference semifinals was one of the most shocking victories during this postseason. Maybe people believed that the Dallas Mavericks were capable of beating the Suns, but few saw Dallas being able to build a 46-point lead before settling for a 33-point victory. When it comes to how to bet on NBA, determining how the Mavericks will handle their next challenge is paramount.
Under Steve Kerr, Golden State Warriors has been at the top of the Western Conference, making five trips to the finals and winning three championships since the 2014-15 season. However, this Warriors team isn’t like the powerhouse teams of the past. Golden State did miss the postseason the past two seasons and don’t have much star power beyond Steph Curry.
The Warriors may view this run as a way to enhance their legacy, especially as much of the success of their last two title teams was attributed to Golden State having Kevin Durant.
Last game records
Dallas beat Phoenix 123-90 May 15 in Phoenix to win the series 4-3. Golden State beat Memphis 110-96 May 13 in San Francisco to win the series 4-2.
Matchup information
Mavericks at Warriors Betting Analysis
Dallas Betting Analysis
Even someone who doesn’t follow betting stats NBA closely will be able to do a quick dive into Dallas’ numbers and see that point guard Luka Doncic is the engine that drives the Mavericks. While Doncic has missed three playoff games in the first round due to injury, he has taken his game to the next level since. Doncic is averaging 31.5 points, 10.1 rebounds and 6.6 assists per game in the 10 games since.
What Dallas will need against Golden State is consistent offense throughout the series. The Warriors are still capable of face-melting runs where they don’t miss shots. Beyond Doncic, Jalen Brunson has carried much of the scoring load by contributing 22.9 points per game. Spencer Dinwiddie has been strong off the bench, while Dorian Finney-Smith and Reggie Bullock also average in double figures.
Golden State Betting Analysis
The biggest enemy to the Warriors’ offense has been themselves. Golden State has averaged 15.3 turnovers per game and the Warriors’ proclivity for turning the ball over led to major headaches during their series with second-seeded Memphis last round. Golden State’s 3-point shooting has also been inconsistent.
Curry is shooting 35.9 percent from the 3-point line, which is well below his career playoff average of 39.8 percent. That hasn’t stopped Curry, however, from being able to put up points. Curry is averaging 26.9 points per game in the potseason, which is the fourth-highest average of his career.
While Klay Thompson has also seen his shooting struggles, he is still second on the team in scoring at 20.4 points per game, while shooting guard Jordan Poole contributes 19.3 points per game.
Updates
Dallas doesn’t have any injuries of note. Golden State Warriors coach Steve Kerr said shooting guard Gary Payton II is a long shot to play in the Western Conference finals with an elbow injury.
- Dallas is 56-37-2 against the spread.
- Golden State is 46-43-4 against the spread.
- The over is 36-57-2 in the Mavericks’ games this season.
- The over is42-49-2 in the Warriors’ games this season.
- Dallas is 30-27-2 against the spread following a win.
- Golden State is 28-28-4 against the spread following a win.
Mavericks at Warriors Betting Preview
NBA betting odds have Golden State as a -5.5 favorite. The Warriors are -220 on the moneyline, while the Mavericks are +180. Anyone looking to make different kinds of NBA picks can bet on the over/under, which is set at 214.5
Mavericks at Warriors Betting Prediction
Dallas, on paper, doesn’t seem to be anything special beyond Doncic. However, in the playoffs Doncic has shown the ability to elevate his teammates with his strong play. With his playmaking abilities, Dallas has been able to create easy looks at the basket to generate points.
While Golden State hasn’t shot effectively from the 3-point line consistently, playing in front of a home crowd in a big series will likely energize the Warriors. If Golden State heats up, and Doncic can keep pace, this will be a fun back-and-forth series. Both teams will have a good offensive night in this one and it should find a way to get over the total.
How to bet Mavericks at Warriors
Bet over 214.5
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