Overview
Philadelphia wants to keep the pressure on Miami in the race for the top seed in the Eastern Conference. The 76ers, who are 3.5 games behind the Heat, also are only a half-game behind the Milwaukee Bucks but also want to gain space on the Celtics, which only trails Philadelphia by a slight margin in winning percentage.
Miami has won seven of its past ten games and has continued its strong play. Sports betting guides show that Miami has been consistent throughout the season.
The Heat have been strong away from home, recording a 21-15 record.
Last games records
Miami beat Oklahoma City 120-108 on March 18. The Heat are 47-24 this season. Philadelphia lost to Toronto 93-88 on March 20. The 76ers are 43-27 this season.
Matchup Information
Heat at 76ers Betting Analysis
Miami Betting Analysis
Miami has made its bones on defense this season. The Heat ranks fourth in the league in points per game (104.8 points per game), field goal percentage (44.4 percent), and 3-point field goal percentage (33.9 percent). In the previous meeting between Miami and Philadelphia, the Heat clamped down and limited the 76ers to 82 points.
Tyler Herro has been Miami’s star scorer over the past ten games. Herro, who is tied for the team leading in scoring at 21.1 points per game with Jimmy Butler, has led the team in scoring in seven of the past ten games.
Butler has been limited by injuries over the past month and only averaged 16.0 points per game in March, which is below his scoring average.
The Heat’s offense has been inconsistent this year. Miami shoots 46.2 percent from the field, which ranks 14th in the league. Miami also scores 109.5 points per game, which ranks 17th.
Philadelphia Betting Analysis
Philadelphia ranks 22nd in the NBA in scoring, contributing 108.4 points per game. While the 76ers haven’t shot particularly well, they are the top free-throw shooting team in the NBA.
Philadelphia makes 82.1 percent of its 3-point attempts. 76ers center Joel Embiid has been fantastic for Philadelphia, averaging 30 points and 11.3 rebounds per game.
James Harden is still settling into his role for the 76ers. Harden has averaged 22.9 points per game since covering over from the Nets in a trade
In addition, Harden also hands out 10.7 assists and grabs 6.8 rebounds per game. Tobias Harris also averages 17.8 points and 7.0 rebounds per game.
According to the betting stats NBA, defensively, Philadelphia has been one of the top units in the league. The 76ers limit their opponents to 34.2 percent shooting from the 3-point line, which ranks eighth in the NBA. Philadelphia also limits its opponents to 106.5 points per game.
Updates
Butler is questionable for Monday with an ankle injury. Victor Oladipo is out with a back injury.
- Miami is 40-30-1 against the spread.
- Philadelphia is 33-34-2 against the spread.
- The over has a record of 41-30 against the total in the Heat’s games.
- The over has a record of 30-37-2 against the total in the 76ers’ games.
- Miami is 1-4 against the spread in their last five games.
- Three of Philadelphia’s last five games have gone under the total.
Heat at 76ers Betting Preview
NBA betting odds have Miami as a 1-point road favorite.
Heat at 76ers Prediction
This game was a defensive slobber knocker the last time out. However, a lot has changed since the two teams last met. Harden provides another aspect to the 76ers’ offense that Miami hasn’t seen before. Meanwhile, the Heat are facing a lot of injury uncertainty.
Without Butler in the lineup, Miami is still a strong team but will have to continue to lean on Herro, who can be streaky at times. The Heat will have a hard time handling the new Philadelphia lineup.
People betting on the NBA have to be prepared to adjust NBA free picks based on the heavy chance of a mid-season change changing the complexion of a team.
Bet the 76ers as one-point home underdogs.
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