The Miami Heat continue their three-game West Coast trip against the Golden State Warriors in one of four NBA matchups on the docket.
Miami (2-3) is coming off a 198-98 victory over Portland last night, while Golden State (2-2) suffered a humbling 134-105 setback to Phoenix on Tuesday. Tip-off is slated for 10 p.m. (ET) at the Chase Center.
The following will take an in-depth look at the Heat vs Warriors betting info.
Heat vs. Warriors Odds
Spread
Heat vs Warriors betting lines have the Warriors as big favorites. Golden State is listed as a 7.5-point favorite after the spread opened with the Warriors at -8.5.
Total
The over/under has also moved a little as it is back up to its opening line of 225.5 points after getting as low as 224.5.
Moneyline
However, the moneyline has been the most volatile of the Heat vs Warriors betting. Miami comes in at +248 after starting at +300 and going as low as +200.
Meanwhile, Golden State is listed at -284 after opening at -384 and getting as low as -240.
Matchup Information
- Time and Date: October 27, 2022, 10:00 p.m.
- Venue: Chase Center
- Location: San Franciso, CA
- How To Watch: NBA TV
Miami Heat vs. Golden State Warriors Betting Preview
The two NBA teams are meeting for the 68th time. The series has been close throughout the years, with the Golden State holding a slight advantage 35-32 in the all-time series.
Over the last two seasons, the Warriors have taken three of the four meetings though the teams have split the two games at the Chase Center.
Each team has covered twice during this stretch. Meanwhile, the over is 4-0 during the past four games.
Miami Heat
Miami hit the road for the first time of the season on Wednesday night and picked up its first ATS victory, as a 2.5-point favorite, in its win at Portland.
The game was close for a half, but the Heat started to pull away midway through the third quarter and led by as many as 26 points in the fourth.
The Heat’s 119 points against the Trail Blazers were a season-high as they made a season-high 44 field goals (50.6%), including a team-best 15 3-pointers (39.5%).
Heat’s Five Starters
Miami had all five starters – six players overall – produce14 points or more points, led by Bam Adebayo with 18 points and eight boards. The Heat have won two of three overall.
Miami is 1-4 ATS overall and 1-0 ATS on the road this season. The Heat matchup against the Trail Blazers also finished under the point total of 220.5, marking the second straight game that the total has gone under. The under has hit in three of the Heat’s five games.
Miami ranks in the bottom third of the league in offensive efficiency and 27th in scoring at 106.6 points a game.
Heat’s Struggle
The Heat have struggled to put the ball in the hoop, ranking in 20th or worse in:
- field goal percentage (45.5%)
- 3-pointers made (10.8)
- 3-point percentage (34.6%)
Miami has been pretty good on the defensive end this entire season. The Heat allow the seventh fewest points in the league at 106.4.
Heat’s Defense
The Heat’s defense is also seventh in field goal percentage as they hold their opponents to 44.2% from the field though they have struggled to guard the 3-point line, with the opposition making 37.9% (24th) of their attempts from deep.
- Reserves Ömer Yurtseven (ankle)
- Victor Oladipo (knee)
Have been listed on the NBA injury report all season. Neither player is expected to make their debut tonight.
Golden State Warriors
Golden State returns home – where they are 2-1 on the season – looking to put its disastrous second half against Phoenix behind them.
A one-and-one-half point underdog, the Warriors trailed by four at the 6:54 minute mark in the third quarter.
However, the Dubs were outscored 53-28 the rest of the way, and Klay Thompson was ejected for the first time in his career.
Warriors’ Averaging Numbers
Golden State scored 39 points over the last 24 minutes as they were only 15 of 40 from the field (37.5%), including 1 of 15 (6.7%) from the 3-point line, and committed nine turnovers.
Stephen Curry, who topped the 30-point mark in the first three games, led the way for the Warriors with 21 points, seven rebounds, and eight assists.
Golden State has failed to cover the last three games and is 1-4 ATS, including 1-3 at home. The over has hit in each of the Warriors’ four contests.
Warriors Scoring Stats
The Warriors rank fourth amongst NBA teams in scoring at 120.3 points. The Dubs, 21st in offensive efficiency, rank 10th in the league in shooting percentage (47.5%) and 18th in 3-point shooting percentage (35.0%).
Golden State continues to struggle defensively as they have permitted each of their last three opponents to connect on 47% of their shots from the field. The Warriors are last among NBA teams in scoring defense at 124.0 points a game.
Shooting Percentage
The Dubs allow their opponents to shoot 48.4% from the field (25th) though they have defended the 3-point well as they have limited their opponents to 32.9% shooting (8th) from beyond the arc.
The NBA injury report shows that Donte DiVincenzo (left hamstring strain) and Andre Iguodala (left hip) have been ruled out.
Heat vs. Warriors Analysis and Prediction
The Warriors’ picks today of -7.5 points seem too high, considering how bad the Dubs’ defense has been and that the Heat has played better lately.
However, the over/under of 225.5 seems about as the Heat have been solid on the defensive end, and all five of their games have finished with fewer than 224 points.
Most Profitable Team for This Matchup
Here’s the thing, expect the Warriors to come out angry after Tuesday’s debacle. Golden State should win as they are playing at home, and the Heat are playing the second game of a back-to-back on the road – Miami was 5-8 in back-to-backs last season.
However, the Heat matchup well against the Warriors as Golden State struggles to protect the paint and the Heat are the stronger team on the boards.
Plus, Adebayo has had his way against the Dubs lately, and Miami does a fantastic job defensively against opposing backcourts.
NBA Pick: Heat +7.5 (-110)
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