When it comes to NBA matchups on the Monday night NBA schedule, the Heat vs Grizzlies game tonight may be the marquee attraction.
With star power and legitimate title hopes on both sides, there is no denying that fans and bettors alike will have their eyes on this contest in Memphis.
In this Heat vs Grizzlies betting analysis, we look at this game from a betting perspective and give our best bet for this huge Monday night matchup.
Last Game Records
Heat’s Last Game Record
Both teams are coming into this game off of wins in their last games.
The Miami Heat won an overtime game against the Boston Celtics at TD Garden in Boston, with Bam Adebayo leading the Heat with 28 points in the win.
The Heat standings position has been underwhelming early in the season, as they have a record of 11-12 and are in ninth place in the Eastern Conference.
Grizzlies’ Last Game Record
Memphis, meanwhile, beat the Detroit Pistons in their last game, with Ja Morant leading all scorers with 33 points.
Memphis has a 14-9 record and sits in fourth place in the Western Conference coming into this inter-conference contest.
Matchup Information
The Miami Heat and Memphis Grizzlies have played a total of 51 times all-time, with the Heat holding a slight edge coming into this game.
Miami has a 28-23 advantage in their all-time series with the Grizzlies, though the Grizzlies have won four of the last five clashes between these teams dating back to the 2019-2020 season.
This is the first time these teams will meet this season, with the Heat and Grizzlies splitting their season series at a game apiece a season ago.
Heat vs. Grizzlies Betting Analysis
Miami Heat
For the Miami Heat, the early portion of this season has been a bit of a disappointment, as they are slightly below the .500 mark coming into this Monday night matchup in Memphis.
Last year, the individual brilliance of Jimmy Butler and their incredible depth helped them make it to within seconds of the NBA Finals.
But this year, those areas are lacking as the Heat are barely in the play-in spots in the Eastern Conference.
Heats’s NBA Player Stats
If you look at the NBA player stats for this season, you will not see any Heat players among the leaders in key categories. More importantly, their role players have taken a step backward.
Players like Tyler Herro have failed to play at an elite level on a regular basis, and that needs to change for the Heat to beat teams like the Grizzlies.
Memphis Grizzlies
The Memphis Grizzlies have proven early this season that last year was no fluke, as they are among the upper echelon of teams in the Western Conference once again.
Memphis is in fourth place in the Western Conference, with Ja Morant leading them as a top-10 scorer in the league.
Grizzlies Rebounding’s Numbers
Memphis’ rebounding has also been superb to help them stay at the top of the conference standings, as they are the top of the NBA team stats in that category.
Perhaps the most impressive thing about the Grizzlies this season has been their depth, as they have overcome injuries to Morant and Desmond Bane early in the year.
Their three-point shooting from role players has also been excellent, and is set to improve with Jaren Jackson Jr. recently returning to the floor.
NBA Injury Report
The Heat come into this game with a loaded injury report, with several key players listed coming into Monday.
Jimmy Butler is questionable with a sore knee, while:
- Tyler Herro
- Max Strus
- Duncan Robinson
All listed as probable with minor injuries.
On the Memphis side, Desmond Bane and Ziaire Williams are out, while Steven Adams is listed as day-to-day.
Heat vs. Grizzlies Betting Preview
Going into this contest, there is no clear favorite according to the NBA odds, as this game is listed as a pick ‘em. The total for the game is listed at 224.5, as the pace of the Grizzlies necessitates a high total most of the time.
On the Miami side coming into this game, the number one key to this contest is going to be getting into the painted area.
If Steven Adams is not going to be at 100% for this matchup, the Heat should be able to get good looks at the rim with Bam Adebayo.
Memphis’ biggest key, meanwhile, will be continuing to shoot the three efficiently, with their best shooter still out of action in Desmond Bane.
Heat vs. Grizzlies Betting Prediction
This is a tough game to predict, with so much NBA injury volatility on both sides. However, our Heat vs Grizzlies betting analysis recommends trusting the Grizzlies when making their NBA picks for the day.
Their superior depth and the potential for Miami to sit multiple key players make the Grizzlies a slightly better choice on Monday night.
NBA Pick: -1 (-110)
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