San Antonio Spurs at New Orleans Pelicans Betting Analysis and Predictions


Playing without superstar Zion Williamson, who fractured his foot in the offseason, for an entire season and a 2-14 start to the year wasn’t a recipe for success for the New Orleans Pelicans this year. The Pelicans rebounded from their woeful start to finish in ninth place in the Western Conference and reach the play-in tournament. Betting stats NBA show New Orleans is trying to make the first round of the playoffs for the first time since the 2017-18 season.

Sports betting guides show things haven’t been pretty for San Antonio since Tim Duncan retired and Kawhi Leonard departed in free agency. However, between mid-March and early April this season, the Spurs played their best basketball, winning eight out of 10 games to catch the free-falling Lakers. San Antonio is seeking to return to the playoffs after missing entirely in the past two seasons.

The Spurs, who have shown dynastic tendencies during coach Greg Popovich’s tenure, haven’t been past the first round since the 2016-17 season.

Last Games Records

New Orleans lost to Golden State 128-107 on April 10. The Pelicans are 36-46.  San Antonio lost 130-120 to Dallas on April 10. The Spurs are 34-48.

Matchup Information:

Spurs at Pelicans Betting Analysis

San Antonio Spurs Betting Analysis

The Spurs’ offense has put up a lot of points this season, even if they aren’t terribly efficient about it. San Antonio Spurs ranks eighth in the league in scoring average, recording 113.2 points per game. The Spurs rank 18th in the league in 3-point field goal percentage, making 35.2 percent of their attempts. San Antonio also shoots 46.7 percent from the field, which ranks 14th in the league.

Point guard Dejounte Murray, who averages 21.2 points, 9.3 assists and 8.4 rebounds per game, has been the Spurs’ top threat this season. Small forward Keldon Johnson contributes 16.9 points per game.

The defense has been a struggle for San Antonio this season. The Spurs allow 113 points per game, which ranks 23rd in the NBA. The Spurs also allow their opponents to shoot 36 percent from the 3-point line, which ranks 20th. San Antonio went 3-1 against New Orleans during the regular season.

New Orleans Pelicans Betting Analysis

A late-season trade with the Portland Trail Blazers gave New Orleans a giant spark. Shooting guard CJ McCollum has contributed 25.2 points per game in 25 games since coming south to join the Pelicans. Coupled with the scoring of Brandon Ingram, who scores 22.7 points per game, and Jonas Valanciunas, who scores 17.8 per game, gives New Orleans a formidable threat on offense.

Scoring had been a struggle for most of the season for New Orleans. The Pelicans rank 21st in the NBA in scoring, only putting up 109.3 points per game. The Pelicans also struggled from the 3-point line, ranking 27th in the league by making 33.2 percent of their 3-point attempts. Defensively, New Orleans have been solid in scoring defense, ranking 13th by allowing opponents to score 110.3 points per game.

However, the Pelicans do allow their opponents to shoot 36.5 percent from the perimeter, which ranks 26th in the league. Opponents also make 47.1 percent of their 3-pointer attempts.

Team Updates

Williamson is still listed as out indefinitely. Ingram and Valanciunas are both listed as questionable for New Orleans. Lonnie Walker IV is listed as questionable for the Spurs with a back injury.

  • New Orleans is 41-39-1 against the spread.
  • San Antonio is 43-37-1 against the spread.
  • The over is 31-48 in the Pelicans’ games this season.
  • The over is 38-41 in the Spurs’ games this season.
  • The total has gone over the total in three of the Pelicans’ past four games.
  • San Antonio has covered nine of its past 10 games against the spread.

Spurs at Pelicans

NBA betting odds has New Orleans as a five-point favorite. The Pelicans are -195 on the moneyline, while San Antonio is +160. The over/under is set at 229.

Spurs at Pelicans Betting Prediction

Making NBA picks on this matchup is unappealing all-around. The Spurs and Pelicans both went through long periods of ineffective play and can be hard to judge. New Orleans is still hoping for a late Williamson comeback, but it is difficult to say what is going on with his injury situation. What is more well known is that the Spurs have a big advantage in the coaching department.

Betting guides show San Antonio has already collected three victories over New Orleans this season. While that isn’t always a good projection of future success, it is a little easier to trust Popovich to find a way to get things done against a New Orleans squad with little playoff experience. Expect the Spurs to cover the five-point spread.

Bet San Antonio +5. 

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