No. 11 Texas Texas shocked No. 7 Baylor with a late rally in January, stopping the Bears’ 15-game winning streak to start the season. The Red Raiders, who are 19-6 overall and 8-4 in Big 12 play, will now try to replicate the feat and tie the Bears for second place in the conference standings. Baylor, which is 21-4 and 9-3, has been good away from Waco this year. The Bears, who have won two straight, are 6-2 in true home games.
Baylor at Texas Tech Stats
Looking at the Texas Tech Stats
The Red Raiders have been throttling opponents at home this season, compiling a 15-0 record. Texas Tech has been so effective thanks to a smothering defense. The Red Raiders rank 13th nationally in field goal percentage defense, only allowing opponents to make 38.4 percent of their shots. Texas Tech also ranks 17th in scoring defense, keeping opponents to 60.9 points per game.
The Red Raiders don’t move at the fastest pace on offense but are efficient. Texas Tech ranks 47th nationally in field goal percentage, making 47.1 percent of its shots from the floor. Bryson Williams leads the Red Raiders in scoring, averaging 13.4 points per game.
Kevin McCullar does a little bit of everything for Texas Tech, leading the Red Raiders by averaging 5.3 rebounds, 3.2 assists, and 1.4 steals per game. Texas Tech is 1-3 when its opponents score more than 70 points.
Looking at the Baylor Stats
Baylor is 8-4 in its last 12 trips to Texas Tech. For Baylor’s strong play in Lubbock to continue, it would help if the Bears could find ways to score in the paint. Baylor is 17-0 this season when it outscores its opponents in the paint.
LJ Cryer leads the Bears in scoring, averaging 13.9 points per game. Baylor’s offense ranks 39th nationally in scoring offense, putting up 77.9 points per game. The Bears also shoot 47.3 percent from the field, which ranks in the top 40 nationally.
Defensively, Baylor has forced 10 or more turnovers in 33 straight games. The Bears limit their opponents to 62.2 points per game, which is the 27th best mark in the nation.
Betting Trends for Texas Tech at Baylor
- Texas Tech is 17-8 against the spread this season.
- Baylor is 14-10 against the spread this season.
- The under is 13-12 in the Red Raiders’ games.
- The over is 13-11-1 in the Bears’ games.
- Texas Tech is 8-2 against the spread in its last 10 games.
Red Raiders and Bears Prediction
Top sportsbooks have Texas Tech as a 1.5-point favorite. The Red Raiders are -125 on the moneyline, while Baylor is +102. The over/under is set at 136 points.
Betting on road favorites is always a treacherous journey in college basketball. Normally dominant teams can fold in a hostile environment on a weeknight. Texas Tech stunned Baylor early this season, knocking some of the aura off the defending national champions. The Red Raiders will be desperate to protect home court against a Bears’ team that still has hopes for a Big 12 regular-season title should Kansas fold.
That being said, the Red Raiders will lean on their defense and complete a season sweep of Baylor, covering the 1.5-point spread.
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