March Madness: Miami Hurricanes vs. Indiana Hoosiers Prediction

Rob Carr / AFP

The ACC and Big Ten collide in the second round of the 2023 March Madness bracket as the Miami Hurricanes (26-7) take on the Indiana Hoosiers (23-11). Miami edged out a 63-56 win against No.12 Drake on Friday, while Indiana rolled past Kent State 71-60.

Neither the Hurricanes nor Hoosiers is among the teams with the best odds to win March Madness, but a win Sunday would strengthen their claims. Which team will have the upper hand on Sunday?

Find out in our Miami vs Indiana prediction.

Miami Hurricanes vs. Indiana Hoosiers Odds

Miami vs. Indiana Information

Miami Hurricanes vs. Indiana Hoosiers

Location: MVP Arena, Albany, NY.

Date and Time: Sunday, March 19, 2023, 8:40 PM ET.

How to Watch: TNT

Updates for Miami and Indiana

The most important update for making our Miami vs Indiana prediction is there are no entries for either team on the college basketball injury report.

Miami’s dominant offense made them a high-upside option among NCAAB picks come tournament time. Ranking 12th in offensive KenPom, the Hurricanes can light up a scoreboard in no time. They scored 78.9 points per game in pre-tournament play, and have +6500 odds to win March Madness.

However, Indiana’s battle-tested defense in the always-physical Big Ten could work in their favor. The Hoosiers averaged 74.9 points per game and finished second in the Big Ten college basketball standings, but a defensive KenPom rating of 44 (Miami is at 112) could turn the tide. Indiana is listed at +4000 among NCAA basketball teams to win the tournament.

Because of earlier exits in their respective conference tournaments, the NCAAB schedule may have worked in both teams’ favor. They should be well-rested and ready to go.

Key players to watch out during the game

We will get to see two of the more dynamic college basketball players go at it in Miami’s Isaiah Wong and Indiana’s Trayce Jackson-Davis. Wong should be looking to attack the rim and get Jackson-Davis in foul trouble, but the latter can dominate as a scorer, defender, and rebounder.

In the regular season, Wong led the Hurricanes in points (15.8), assists (3.4), and steals (1.4) per game. His play with fellow guard Jordan Miller (15.0 points per game) will be crucial to Miami’s success.

The Hurricanes can pull the upset if they continue to pull Indiana’s defense out of position and get them in foul trouble, especially since Miami shoots a whopping 77.7% as a team from the free-throw line (12th best among all men’s college basketball teams).

Meanwhile, Jackson-Davis is a one-man wrecking crew for Indiana. No other Hoosier comes within half of his rebounding total (10.9 per game), and only one other player, Jalen Hood-Schifino, comes with half of Jackson-Davis’ 20.9 points per game (Hood-Schifino averages 13.3).

Miami vs. Indiana Betting Preview

The NCAAB odds slightly favor Indiana. On the moneyline, Indiana is -125, while Miami is +105. The spread is Hoosiers -1.5 at -110 odds, and the over/under is listed at 146.

Miami vs. Indiana Betting Prediction

In making our Miami vs Indiana prediction, we think there is solid value in taking Miami on the upset. The Hurricanes can stretch the floor against the Hoosiers forwards, and we expect another big game from Isaiah Wong. Indiana’s overreliance on Jackson-Davis will ultimately be their downfall.

When watching NCAA basketball games today, consider making Miami moneyline against Indiana one of your NCAAB picks.

BETTING PICK: Miami Hurricanes 76, Indiana Hoosiers 72. Miami ML.

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