The Gonzaga Bulldogs have some of the best odds to win march madness because of their recent bracket March Madness success and an All-American forward in Drew Timme. But the TCU Horned Frogs and star guard Mike Miles Jr. hope to bust those brackets early when the two teams meet in the second round as the last of NCAA basketball games today.
The Bulldogs won 10 straight after a loss on February 4 to Saint Mary’s to finish atop their college basketball standings and into the tournament. They have a high-octane offense that meets a TCU defense that rates highly in a clash of different styles among two top NCAA basketball teams.
Here is an analysis of each team, the odds, updates, and a TCU vs Gonzaga prediction.
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs Information
TCU Horned Frogs vs Gonzaga Bulldogs
Location: Ball Arena, Denver, CO.
Date and Time: Sunday, March 19, 2023, 9:40 PM ET.
How to Watch: TBS
Updates for TCU Horned Frogs vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs
There is nobody listed on the college basketball injury report for either team, but the Horned Frogs lost center Eddie Lampkin Jr. to the transfer portal after the regular season.
The reserve was a solid player with potential and would have helped against Gonzaga Bulldogs and Timme, one of the best college basketball players remaining in the tournament.
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs Betting Preview
The NCAAB odds show Gonzaga is favored by 4.5 points and at -190 on the moneyline. The Horned Frogs are +163 on the moneyline, while the over/under is 157 points. TCU’s implied team total is 76.5 points, while Gonzaga’s is 81, with -115 odds on either side for either team.
It is the first time that the teams have met each other on the NCAAB schedule. Making a TCU vs Gonzaga prediction is not quite a blind guess but a little difficult with no matchup history.
Gonzaga had the best offense in basketball, scoring 88.0 points per game and making 52.9% of field goal attempts to lead the country. It also shot 38.2% from 3-point range, which was 17th, but only 69.8% at the free throw line, which was 251st.
Though defensively, the Bulldogs allowed 73.6 points per game, which ranked 287th, and teams converted 44.9% of field goal attempts (262nd) and 34.7% of 3-point shots (246th) against them.
TCU Horned Frogs Stats
Meanwhile, TCU was 92nd in scoring 75.5 points per game and 83rd at making 46.2% of field goal attempts. However, the Horned Frogs were 353rd in converting 29.6% of 3-point shots and 243rd with a 70.1% rate at the free-throw line.
Defensively they allowed 68.0 points per game, which was 123rd, and 42.5% on field goal attempts (105th). TCU was solid on the perimeter, allowing 31.1% of 3-point shots to go down, which ranked 41st.
The Horned Frogs were 16-17-1 against the spread and on over/unders. They were 4-7 straight up on the road and 5-1 on a neutral court. TCU was 6-6 against the spread as underdogs and 5-5 against the spread on the road against teams with a winning record.
Gonzaga was 13-19-1 against the spread and 19-14 on over/unders. It had a 7-2 record straight up on the road and was 8-2 on a neutral court. The Bulldogs were 9-14-1 against the spread as favorites and 1-5 against the spread against teams with a winning record on the road.
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs Betting Prediction
Those making NCAAB picks who have made their bets publicly available favor Gonzaga with 73% of the bets. Another 61% of bets were on the under, which probably favors TCU.
Gonzaga has struggled in games where teams can physically match up with Timme, and TCU will not. Nor will the Horned Frogs hit enough perimeter shots.
Here is our TCU vs Gonzaga prediction.
Betting on this event:
Bet on Gonzaga to get the W.
- As for the correct score, bet on Gonzaga 83 – 72 TCU.
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