As good as Patrick Mahomes prop bets has been for the Kansas City Chiefs, he has been just as good for sports bettors. He has been a statistical anomaly since he took over the starting quarterback job in Kansas City in 2018, twice winning the MVP award, and twice throwing for more than 5,000 yards.
No player in the history of the NFL had more passing yards and more touchdowns at this point in their career. He also has a chance this year when the Chiefs play the Vikings to become the fastest player to beat all 31 other NFL teams.
In short, he’s good at football, and Patrick Mahomes prop bets are a good way to make money this football season with his NFL standings.
NFL MVP Award
A year ago, the NFL preseason prop bets for the 2022 NFL MVP Award had Josh Allen of the Buffalo Bills as the favorite. Allen was paying +700, while Mahomes trailed behind at +800. Let’s hope that you put your money on Mahomes, since he ended up winning the award with 48 of the 50 first-place votes.
This season the NFL odds have Mahomes as the +700 co-favorite to win the MVP award, which are the same odds that you will get for both Allen and Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow.
As a comparison, the average season for Patrick Mahomes prop bets, not counting his rookie year when he played just one game, is 4,791 passing yards and 38 passing touchdowns. Removing Allen’s first-year struggles, he has since 2019 averaged 4,080 passing yards and 32 passing touchdowns. Allen has 30 rushing touchdowns over the last four years, and Mahomes has 10.
Minus his injury-shortened rookie season, Burrow has averaged 4,543 passing yards and 34 passing touchdowns in NFL games.
Most Regular Season Passing Yards
Last season Mahomes led the NFL with 5,250 passing yards, the first time in his career that he was the season passing yards leader. The Patrick Mahomes prop bet on leading the NFL in passing yards paid +800 last year.
Now that we can look ahead to the complete NFL schedule in 2023, oddsmakers have decided that Mahomes and the Chiefs offense are going to be extra dangerous this season. Instead of +800, this year, Mahomes winning the passing yards title only pays +400.
Other top NFL picks are Joe Burrow and Justin Herbert, who are tied for second behind Mahomes at +700.
The last five winners of the passing yards title are Ben Roethlisberger (2018), Jameis Winston (2019), Deshaun Watson (2020), Tom Brady (2021), and Patrick Mahomes (2022).
Mahomes was the runner-up to Roethlisberger in 2018, and he was the runner-up to Deshaun Watson in 2020. He ranked fourth in 2021 behind Brady, Justin Herbert, and Matthew Stafford.
Regular Season Touchdowns
Last year Mahomes won the passing touchdowns title for the second time in his career. He won it in 2018 with 50 touchdown passes, and last year he topped the league with 41 touchdown passes and 45 total touchdowns.
A bet on Mahomes to win the title in 2022 paid +600.
Odds for the 2023 champion are still off the board, but Mahomes has the highest listed over/under on regular-season passing touchdowns at 36.5. Joe Burrow has the second-highest line at 33.5. Allen is next at 32.5.
You can also get plus money if Mahomes throws at least 40 passing touchdowns. That bet pays +115.
Last year Mahomes had a career-high of four rushing touchdowns. If he can get to five rushing touchdowns in 2023, that winning bet pays +150.
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