AFC South Betting Preview And Picks

AFC South Pick Analysis

The AFC South might have the widest difference between the division’s top and the bottom. The Houston Texans, coming off of C.J. Stroud’s breakout rookie year, are brimming with optimism.

Conversely, the Tennessee Titans are likely to be one of the worst teams in the league. The Indianapolis Colts and Jacksonville Jaguars occupy the middle ground, aiming to capitalize on a slip from the favored Texans.

Houston’s rise under DeMeco Ryans has been nothing short of impressive. Stroud’s stellar rookie campaign, coupled with aggressive offseason moves, has the Texans primed for a strong encore.

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The acquisition of Stefon Diggs significantly enhanced their receiving corps, joining a talented group that includes Tank Dell, Nico Collins, and Dalton Schultz. The backfield duo of Stroud and Dameon Pierce is formidable, and the addition of Joe Mixon adds another dynamic element.

A defense that recorded a franchise-record 46 sacks last season has been further fortified through free agency. After looking at the AFC South outright betting odds, the Texans should be able to win their division. This is one of our best NFL bets.

Odds to win AFC South

AFC South Betting Analysis

Led by second-year head coach DeMeco Ryans, the Texans posted a 10-7 record in 2023, exceeding expectations in a big way. Their projected win total of 9.5 for the upcoming season underscores their status as a rising power in the AFC.

Quarterback C.J. Stroud is the cornerstone of Houston’s resurgence. Despite playing behind a weak offensive line, he delivered a stellar rookie campaign, amassing 4,108 yards, 23 touchdowns, and only five interceptions for his NFL player stats. Stroud’s poise and accuracy under pressure, honed during his Ohio State days, have positioned him as a potential MVP candidate.

The Texans surely have the best team on paper going into the 2024 season, but the AFC South outright betting odds don’t provide that much value for taking them. Still, they have all the weapons to not only win their division next season but maybe even contend for a Super Bowl title.

AFC South Previous Winners and Betting Trends

The Houston Texans have executed a remarkable turnaround. From +1100 longshots last season to +105 division favorites this season, their ascension is undeniable. The Jacksonville Jaguars, last season’s favorites with NFL odds of +270, have seen their fortunes decline. At +270 they don’t really have the value we’d like betting on an underdog.

While the Texans bask in their newfound success, a more challenging schedule looms. Conversely, the Indianapolis Colts, who finished third in the division last year with odds around +310, have shown significant improvement. Positioned for a favorable schedule, the Colts are primed to challenge for the division crown.

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AFC South Betting Picks

Houston’s aggressive offseason moves have positioned them as a favorite, but a daunting NFL schedule featuring multiple clashes with division champions and elite quarterbacks could temper expectations. Despite this, their offensive firepower and defensive improvements make them a serious contender.

The Indianapolis Colts are banking on a breakout season from quarterback Anthony Richardson to propel them into playoff contention. The Colts possess the talent to challenge Houston. However, overcoming question marks on both sides of the ball remains crucial.

Jacksonville aims to build on their playoff berth, bolstered by offensive line upgrades and additions to the receiving corps. A revamped defensive front adds an aggressive edge they didn’t have last season. While the Jacksonville Jaguars show promise, the division’s overall competitiveness could impact their playoff aspirations. The Tennessee Titans, grappling with quarterback uncertainty, appear to be the division’s underdog.

Ultimately, the AFC South promises to be a fiercely contested division with plenty of room for surprises. The Texans, however, are our pick to win the division. The AFC South outright betting odds agree that the Texans have the upper hand, but as we saw last year in the division, anything can happen.