NFL

Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs Betting Analysis and Prediction

Overview of the game

The Buffalo Bills and Kansas City Chiefs meet up for a divisional round in an AFC postseason matchup on Sunday night. 

Last games records

The Bills utilized their division win and home advantage over the Patriots last week to earn a convincing 47-17 victory. However, Buffalo will be forced to try and defeat Kansas City on the road in this affair. 

Kansas City dominated the Steelers last week in a 42-21 victory. The Chiefs will face a Bills squad that has been rolling as of late. 

Matchup Information

Kickoff is scheduled for 6:30 P.M. EST on Sunday, January 23rd, at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, MO.   

Bills at Chiefs Betting Analysis

Buffalo Bills Betting Analysis

The Bills ended up losing last season in the AFC championship against Kansas City by a final score of 38-24. But they are out for vengeance this season. 

Buffalo took care of business against the Patriots a week ago. 

Josh Allen led the impressive offensive performance with 308 passing yards and five touchdowns on a very efficient 21-25 passing outing. Allen, Devin Singletary, and Isaiah McKenzie all combined for 176 yards and two rushing touchdowns in the win as well. 

The Buffalo defense, which finished first in terms of limiting points per game during the season, held New England to just 17 points while forcing two interceptions.

Buffalo’s well-rounded attack should bode well against Kansas City, who struggles in limiting passing and rushing yards despite ranking eighth in limiting points per game. 

The Bills will need all hands on deck if they hope to upset the odds.

Kansas City Chiefs Betting Analysis

The Steelers gave Chiefs very little trouble last week. Patrick Mahomes led a Chiefs offense that scored 42 points. The star QB posted five touchdown passes and over 400 yards in the win. 

The Chiefs will need to find a solution to stopping the Bills’ offense. They surrendered 38 points in a 38-20 loss against Buffalo back in October. 

If the Bills were to score that many points again, there is no question that Kansas City would have a difficult time winning this game. 

Kansas City needs to avoid letting this turn into a shootout. The Bills do too many things well on offense, whether it is completing short passes, firing the ball deep, or making plays through the run game. 

Expect Kansas City to devise a game plan focused on constantly pressuring Josh Allen in the Buffalo backfield.

Team Updates

Chiefs linebacker William Gay was arrested on Thursday for misdemeanor property damages. His status for Sunday is to be determined, but the odds of him playing would seem unlikely given the time of the arrest. 

The quarterback matchup in this affair projects to be highly entertaining as Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen are two of the best in the business. Allen could cement his status as an elite QB with a victory in Kansas City. 

  • Buffalo finished 10-6-2 ATS during the regular season and are 1-0 ATS so far during the postseason. 
  • The Bills finished 5-3 ATS on the road. 
  • They were 2-1 ATS as an underdog. 
  • Buffalo was 2-1 ATS as a road underdog. 
  • The Bills were 5-3 SU away from home this season. 
  • Kansas City was 9-9 ATS over the course of the regular season. They are 1-0 ATS in the playoffs. 
  • The Chiefs were 5-5 ATS at home. 
  • They finished 9-9 ATS as a favorite. 
  • Kansas City was 5-5 ATS as a home favorite. 
  • The Chiefs completed the regular season with an 8-2 mark at home.

Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs Betting Preview

The Chiefs enter as very narrow favorites according to the majority of top sportsbooks. However, this is a Buffalo team more than capable of pulling off the upset. 

They finished in the top portion of the NFL in defense and offense this season, and they are seeking revenge after Kansas City defeated them in the AFC Championship game last year. 

I believe that the talent mixed with the motivation will lead Buffalo to the road upset on Sunday night.

Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs Betting Prediction

Bet on the Buffalo Bills!

How to Bet on Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs

Buffalo could lead to a nice payday if they are able to upset the odds in Kansas City. Most bettors will be wary about betting against the Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium, so Buffalo may be worth the risk. 

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