The Buffalo Bills will travel to Gillette Stadium on Sunday afternoon to take on the New England Patriots in an AFC East matchup. The Bills are second in the division and are coming off a 31-14 home win over the Carolina Panthers. Josh Allen finished 19-of-34 for 210 yards with three touchdowns and an interception. The Patriots are leading the division with a 9-5 record and are coming off a 27-17 road loss against the Indianapolis Colts. Mac Jones went 26-of-45 for 299 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions.
Bills at Patriots Stats
Looking at the Bills
Wide receiver Stefon Diggs has been playing pretty well for the Bills this season with 82 receptions on 128 targets for 1,007 yards (12.3 yards per catch), as well as eight receiving touchdowns. In his last game against Carolina Panthers, Diggs finished with four catches on seven targets for 35 yards (8.8 yards per reception) with a touchdown reception.
The Bills have been playing an incredible brand of defense thus far. They are allowing 17.4 points per game. Against Carolina, Buffalo gave up 14 points on 275 total yards of offense (124 passing, 151 rushing). Buffalo did a phenomenal job at limiting the opposing offense to 3.9 yards per play. The Panthers were able to go 7-of-17 on third down attempts but were just 1-of-5 on fourth down opportunities.
Looking at the Patriots
Running back Damien Harris has been playing well but was forced to miss the last game due to a hamstring injury and is officially questionable for this upcoming game. So far this season, he has 164 rushing attempts for 754 yards (4.6 yards per carry) with nine rushing touchdowns as well as 13 receptions for 84 yards (6.5 yards per catch).
In the previous matchup against Buffalo, Harris had 10 carries for 111 yards (11.1 yards per rushing attempt) with a rushing touchdown.
The Patriots have been doing extremely well on the defensive side of the field, giving up 16.2 points per game. In their last game against the Indianapolis Colts, New England allowed 27 points on 275 total yards of offense (49 passing, 226 rushing). The Colts were 2-of-10 on third down tries and converted all three fourth down attempts. The biggest number the Pats need to improve upon is the fact they allowed Indy to run for 5.8 yards per rushing attempt.
Betting Trends for Buffalo Bills at New England Patriots
– Bills are 4-1-2 ATS in their last 7 games in New England
– Bills are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 vs AFC East
– Bills are 8-3-2 ATS in their last 13 games as a road underdog
– Patriots are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 December games
Who to Bet Bills at Patriots
The Patriots are currently listed as a 2.5-point home favorite according to the top sportsbooks. The Pats won on the road a couple weeks ago in that snowy matchup in Buffalo 14-10.
Josh Allen has been doing well in his last four games as he threw for 10 touchdowns and four interceptions while Mac Jones is coming off his worst NFL game so far.
Go with the Buffalo Bills to win this game outright.