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Buffalo Bills vs. New England Patriots Betting Picks and Prediction

Week 13 NFL matchups kick off with Josh Allen and the Bills visiting Bill Belichick and the Patriots. The Buffalo Bills standings now sit at 8-3 after a late game 28-254 win over the Detroit Lions on Thanksgiving day. Meanwhile, the New England Patriots‘ stats were overshadowed by a loss to the Minnesota Vikings 33-26 as New England moves to 6-5 and a last-place spot in the AFC East. 

This should be an exciting AFC East battle, and both teams are looking to keep pace in a strong AFC East division race. Who will come out on top this week 13 in the NFL schedule? Let’s take a closer look at the Bills vs Patriots betting picks. 

Buffalo Bills vs. New England Patriots Game Info and Analysis 

Matchup Info

Game Day: Thursday, December 1st, 2022

Game Time: 8:15 PM ET

TV Channel: Amazon Prime

Location: Foxborough, Massachusetts

Stadium: Gillette Stadium

Buffalo Bills Performance Recap and Analysis

The Bills pulled out some late-game magic with a 28-25 win over the Detroit Lions as Tyler Bass nailed a 45 field goal with two seconds left to seal the victory. In the NFL standings, Buffalo moved to 8-3 while moving to first place in the AFC East division.

The late-game heroics of Josh Allen buoyed his performance as it’s evident that Allen’s elbow injury is hindering his play. When it comes to NFL player stats, the 24-of-42 game by Allen resulted in 253 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception. 

On the ground, Allen rushed for 78 yards and a touchdown. In their win, the offense totaled 408 yards while committing just one turnover.

The Bills’ defense allowed 25 points, but it also had two sacks and two takeaways. Despite being excellent all season, the Bills’ defense has not been able to put up excellent numbers in two consecutive games at Ford Field. As the season progresses, the unit should see plenty of cold-weather action, making it one of the best units moving forward.

Key Injuries

According to the NFL injury report, Von Miller, Dion Dawkins, Mitch Morse, AJ Epenesa, Greg Rousseau, and Tremaine Edmunds could all miss time in week 13. 

Betting Trends to Know

The Bills have struggled recently, covering just one of their previous five games, and this season they are 5-6 against the spread. The over has occurred three times in Bills games this season, while the under has occurred in seven of their games.

New England Performance Recap and Analysis

The New England Patriots had the Minnesota Vikings on a silver platter for Thanksgiving, but on Thursday night’s road trip to the Twin Cities, everything that could have gone wrong did. It would be simple to blame the Patriots’ Thursday night loss on poor refereeing, but it would be unfair to the Vikings, who were a strong team, and would also ignore the Patriots’ role in their own downfall.

The offense played well, as their NFL team stats totaled over 400 yards. The rushing attack struggled with just 45 yards, but Mac Jones had his best game of the year as he threw for 382 yards with two touchdowns. 

The New England Patriots defense, on the other hand, let up 33 points to the Vikings. Along the process, the team recorded one interception and one sack; however, Kirk Cousins had his way with the Patriot secondary as New England allowed 299 yards through the air with three touchdowns. 

Key Injuries

According to the NFL injury report, Jakobi Myers, Damien Harris, Ty Montgomery, Christian Barmore, and Isiah Wynn could all miss time. 

Betting Trends to Know

This season, the Patriots have compiled a 6-4-1 record against the spread. Despite this, the Patriots have won six of their past eight games overall and three of their last four games. The Over has occurred five times this season in games involving the Patriots, while the Under has occurred in three of their previous four games.

Buffalo Bills vs. New England Patriots Odds 

According to NFL odds, the Buffalo Bills are the betting favorites in this game, with the spread set at -5.5 points (-110). In terms of the moneyline, the Patriots are given +195 odds to win at home, while the Buffalo Bills are given -230 odds to win on the road. 

When it comes to the Over/Under, the total has been set at 45.5 points (-110). Keep these odds in mind when making Bills vs Patriots betting picks.

Buffalo Bills vs. New England Patriots Betting Picks

  • Moneyline

Take the New England Patriots on the money line in this one. The Buffalo Bills have clearly struggled as Josh Allen struggles with an elbow injury. The defense is not as elite as we think, as it’s clear Buffalo’s unit gets a major boost from playing in the cold weather. The Patriots are starting to fit the pieces together on both sides of the ball, and they will come out on top at home. (Patriots ML +195)

  • Point Total

When it comes to the Over/Under, expect this matchup to be a defensive battle. Josh Allen’s elbow is a key factor, and Buffalo will look to run the ball in a cold Gillette Stadium. New England’s offense is nothing too great, but their Bill Belichick defense should cause problems for the Bills. This should be a tight, low-scoring ball game. (Under 45.5 -110)

  • Spread

When it comes to Bills vs Patriots getting picks, sportsbooks continue to give Buffalo the benefit of the doubt. The Bills have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five contests. Meanwhile, the Patriots have covered three of their last four contests and six of their last eight overall. I think the Patriots could potentially win this one outright, so they should keep this one close. (Patriots +5.5 -110)

Buffalo Bills vs. New England Patriots Score Prediction

Week 13’s matchup between the Bills and Patriots on Thursday night should be one of the best matchups of the year. Both teams are fighting for the top spot in the AFC East, and this could be a potential early playoff matchup. 

The Bills are talented on both sides of the ball, but they have suffered from the injury bug. Von Miller could be out for the year, causing a huge blow for the Buffalo defense. Meanwhile, Josh Allen clearly isn’t himself, with seven interceptions in five games since injuring his elbow. 

When it comes to Bills vs Patriots betting picks, I like the Patriots to cover. Their strong ground game, defense, and home-field advantage should push them to compete for a victory. Buffalo’s struggles continue, and the Patriots upset the Bills with a victory at home. 

Score Prediction: Patriots 13, Bills 10
NFL Pick: New England Patriots +5.5 (-110)

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