In Week 11, the Cleveland Browns (3-6) and Buffalo Bills (6-3) will face off at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, New York.
Even though they had two weeks to prepare following a bye, the Browns were beaten 39-17 at Miami.
Similarly, the Bills suffered a heartbreaking 33-30 overtime loss to the Minnesota Vikings. Both of these NFL teams are looking to bounce back from their tough stretches to secure a win.
Who will come out on top? Let’s take a look at this matchup for the best Browns vs Bills Betting picks.
Cleveland Browns vs. Buffalo Bills
Matchup Info
- Game Day: Sunday, November 20, 2022
- Game Time: 1:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: FOX
- Location: Orchard Park, New York
- Stadium: Highmark Stadium
Cleveland Browns Performance Recap and Analysis
The Cleveland Browns must defeat the Buffalo Bills in their upcoming game in order to avoid dropping to 3-7 on the season.
The Miami Dolphins defeated the Browns 39-17 thanks to Mike McDaniel’s effective offensive strategy, which the Browns were unable to counter.
Miami’s total against Cleveland was close to 500 yards, and the Browns were unable to leave the field as they gave up 39 points.
Browns’ Offense
Early on, the Browns’ offense was successful, but a Nick Chubb interception and a failed fourth down try ended two promising drives, leading to just 297 yards for the team.
Browns’ Stats
The Cleveland Browns’ stats were ugly last weekend, which is a testament to how they have played basically all year.
The offense has stalled out under Jacoby Brisset, and they are limited to the rushing attack of Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt.
Overall the unit is averaging a fifth-best 375.9 yards per contest. However, on the defensive side of the ball, Cleveland is surrendering a second-worst 26.4 points per game.
Key Injuries
According to the NFL injury report, the Browns could have some players out for their next couple of NFL matchups, with David Njoku and Jerimiah Owusu-Koramoah out. Additionally, starters Denzel Ward and Wyatt Teller are questionable.
Betting Trends to Know
Regarding the Browns’ betting trends, Cleveland has gone 4-5 ATS. Cleveland has had tough luck as of late, as they have covered in just two of their last six contests.
In terms of the Over/Under, the Browns have gone over the total six times, while the Over has hit in three of their last five matchups.
Buffalo Bills Performance Recap and Analysis
The Buffalo Bills suffered a shocking loss after blowing a two-touchdown lead and falling behind the Minnesota Vikings 23-6 in the second half, including in overtime.
Vikings’ Advantage Over the Bills
The Vikings took advantage of the Bills’ miscues and ended up winning the game in overtime 33–30 in the end.
For the Bills (6-3), it was quite a fall from grace, and for the devoted Buffalo fans, it was yet another emotional roller coaster. Due to their loss, the Buffalo Bills’ standings moved to second place in the AFC East.
Overall, there should be no panic from Buffalo as they have been monsters in the NFL standings and NFL team stats.
Bills’ Offense and Defense
Offensively, Buffalo ranks first in the league in total yards per game (424.1) while also averaging a third-best 27.8 points per game.
On the defensive side of the ball, the Bills had trouble holding the Vikings, but the unit still ranks eighth in yards allowed per game (319.8) while also running 2nd in points allowed (16.8).
Key Injuries
According to the NFL injury report, the Bills could again potentially be without Josh Allen, who is dealing with an elbow issue. At the same time, Jordan Poyer, Greg Rousseau, and Kaiir Elam are all questionable coming into the game.
Betting Trends to Know
NFL odds have not been in the Bills’ favor ATS as the Bills come into this matchup 4-4-1 ATS. Additionally, the Bills have gone 0-3 ATS in their last three contests.
In terms of the Over/Under for this matchup, the under has hit in six of the last seven contests for Buffalo and seven out of their nine contests overall.
Cleveland Browns vs. Buffalo Bills Odds
The Buffalo Bills enter this NFL matchup as the -9.5 point spread (-110) favorites, according to oddsmakers.
In terms of the moneyline, Buffalo is -410 favorites to win at home, while the Browns are +330 to win as road underdogs.
Regarding the Over/Under, the total for this game has been listed at 47 points (-110).
Cleveland Browns vs. Buffalo Bills Betting Picks
Moneyline
When it comes to Browns vs Bills betting picks, the Browns have the firepower to compete with the Bills offensively, but the disparity between both defenses will probably decide the game.
In 2022, the Bills’ defense has been all over rival teams, giving up the fourth-fewest total yards per game. They are designed to shut off Cleveland’s rushing attack, increasing the burden on Jacoby Brissett to breach a strong Buffalo secondary that leads the league in interceptions.
Buffalo has the advantage in almost all areas and ought to be able to handle the Browns.
NFL Pick: Bills (-400)
Over/Under
When it comes to the total, the Bills have been a strong Under team, with six of their last seven contests going under the number. As for the Browns, Cleveland has gone over the number in six of their previous nine contests.
Cleveland has their back up against the wall, and they should be very aggressive, while the Bills have now fallen out of first place in the AFC East and should be looking to post big points on Sunday. I like this matchup to go over the total.
NFL Pick: Over 47 (-110)
Spread
The Bills have gone 4-1-1 ATS in the previous six matchups overall against the Browns, with Buffalo winning its last three home games vs. Cleveland. In the last four games of the series, the home team is 3-0-1 ATS.
Buffalo should be able to defend their home turf with the motivation of getting back to first place, while the Browns will have to hit the road for the second straight contest.
Buffalo will look to take advantage of a struggling Browns defense. Even though they have had a tough stretch, Buffalo will cover here at home.
NFL Pick: Bills -9.5 -110)
Cleveland Browns vs. Buffalo Bills Score Prediction
After losing their last two games, the Buffalo Bills, still considered the Super Bowl favorites, are eager to win again in Week 11.
Their chances of earning the top seed in the AFC are rapidly fading as they now sit in third in the AFC East.
Meanwhile, the Browns have won just one contest in their last six matchups and are hanging on for dear life for a playoff spot.
Buffalo needs to get healthy on the defensive side, as they are certainly missing Jordan Poyer, Greg Rousseau, and Kaiir Elam.
Be that as it may, Cleveland has just been awful. Not only have they been a one-dimensional offense, but their defense has been one of the worst units in the league.
In the Browns’ previous eight road games, Cleveland is 1-7 straight up, and they are also 0-5 ATS in their last five games against AFC opponents.
When it comes to Browns vs Bills betting picks, take the Bills, who are fighting for the first overall seed in the AFC.
NFL Score Prediction: Bills 35, Browns 21
NFL Pick: Buffalo Bills -9.5 (-110)
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