When the Sunday night NFL schedule was set up before the season started, a matchup pitting the Buffalo Bills and Green Bay Packers in Orchard Park had to seem appealing.
Next Generation of Superstar Quarterbacks
With Bills quarterback Josh Allen leading the next generation of superstar quarterbacks against veteran Aaron Rodgers, who is coming up on the end of his career, this had all the makings of a marquee matchup.
But anyone expecting Packers-Bills totals to be off the charts may be disappointed. Green Bay’s offense hasn’t gelled following the offseason departures of wide receivers Davante Adams and Marquez Valdes-Scantling.
With a primarily young receiving core in tow, Rodgers has struggled to be the nurturing type and get the offense on the right track.
There is little evidence to suggest Green Bay will be able to get things together as part of the Week 8 NFL schedule.
Packers Season Forecast
Green Bay Packers is in the playoff hunt but will need to turn things around quickly to be a serious contender for the NFC North crown. The Packers are 3-4 and have already lost to Minnesota, which leads the division at 5-1.
Moneyline
Opening Line
The Packers were +330 on the moneyline
How the Line Has Moved and Why
Green Bay is now +400. The Packers are seeing a wave of negative publicity that bettors believe their money is better spent elsewhere.
What Makes Lose the Bet
If the Packers can’t put up points early. Green Bay doesn’t want to come from behind. The Bills’ offense is a machine and will continue to attack the Packers’ defense if Green Bay keeps giving them the ball.
Opening Line
Green Bay +10.5
How the line has moved, and why
The line has moved to Packers +11. After people saw how Green Bay struggled against Washington on the road last week, there isn’t much optimism in Wisconsin.
What Makes Lose the Bet
Green Bay’s offense has to figure out how to score more points. The Packers struggled to move the ball against a strong Washington Commanders‘ defense.
Green Bay will have to look at NFL player stats and determine which players can make adjustments and play better.
Total
Opening Line
The Packers Bills totals opened at 48 points.
How the Line Has Moved and Why
The total is at 47.5 points now, meaning there has been little movement.
What Makes Lose the Bet
For this bet to go over, Green Bay will need to find a way to score in the 20s, at least.
Buffalo has the ability to score from anywhere, but with the Packers’ offense has struggled, they could keep the total down if the wide receivers are off again.
Green Bay Betting Trend to Know
- The Packers are 2-5 against the spread.
- Green Bay has seen the total go under in four of its seven games.
- The Packers are 1-1 against the spread as underdogs this season.
- Three of Green Bay’s last four games have gone over the total.
Buffalo Season Forecast
The Buffalo Bills are who we thought they were. When it comes to picking Bills Packers totals, Buffalo has been a consistent team this season and can be counted on to score points and put pressure on opposing defenses.
The Bills have suffered heartbreak in the past two seasons but appear to have the team that can break through those barriers and challenge for the Super Bowl.
Moneyline
Opening Line
The Bills opened as -410 favorites on the moneyline.
How the Line Has Moved and Why
Buffalo has moved to -500 favorites.
What Makes Lose the Bet
The only way Buffalo loses this game is if it turns the ball over a lot. The Bills’ defense is good enough to hold down a Packers’ offense that isn’t what it used to be.
Spread Line
Opening Line
The Bills opened as 10.5-point favorites.
How the Line Has Moved and Why
NFL odds show the Bills are now 11-point favorites, so there hasn’t been much movement.
What Makes Lose the Bet
Losing the spread is something Buffalo could do, but it all depends on how Rodgers performs for Green Bay.
The Bills have been excellent at finishing drives with touchdowns, which will put a lot of pressure on Green Bay to finish. Buffalo also hasn’t had many players land on the NFL injury report.
Buffalo Betting Trend to Know
- Buffalo is 4-1-1 against the spread.
- The total has gone under in five of Buffalo’s six games.
- Buffalo’s last four games have gone under the total.
- The Bills have been favored in all six games this season.
Most Profitable Players of this Matchup to Bet On
Aaron Rodgers
NFL player stats show this should be a tough game for Rodgers to pile up big passing yards. Green Bay has struggled to get the running game going.
Without gaining much ground in the running game, it will be difficult for the Packers to keep the Bills defense on their toes.
Josh Allen
Allen will go over passing yards for a Packers Bills totals. The Buffalo quarterback has already passed for 300 or more yards four times this season and has been completing the deep ball at a good clip.
Betting on Rodgers to throw an interception is worth taking a shot on while making NFL picks.
Buffalo’s defense is good at getting pressure and may be able to force Rodgers into making an adjustment that one of his young receivers isn’t ready for.
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