biggest rivalries in sports history and best NFL matchups. This Sunday Night Football game, will be the 205th game between the two franchises.
Following a brutal loss in Minnesota, the Packers look to put last week behind them against the Bears who have not beaten the Packers since 2018.
We have our breakdown of the latest Packers vs Bears spread, moneyline, and over/under below along with players to keep an eye on for this NFC North battle.
Green Bay Packers Season Forecast
Following the shocking trade of WR Davante Adams during the offseason, the Packer’s ultimate question on offense was who would be QB Aaron Rodgers’ new favorite weapon.
Would it be returning WRs Randall Cobb and Allen Lazard or rookies like Romeo Doubs and Christian Watson?
After NFL Week 1 and with an injured Allen Lazard, that question remains unanswered as Rodgers failed to find the end zone.
Meanwhile, their top five defense allowed 23 points in Week 1 but should bounce back in NFL Week 2. The Packers remain the favorites to win the division.
Moneyline
Opening Line
The opening line for this game had the Packers as -480 favorites.
How the Line Has Moved and Why
The line hasn’t moved yet but could with WR Allen Lazard’s status still up in the air for Week 2.
What Makes the Bet Lose
If the Packers lose the game, the moneyline bet loses.
Spread Line
Opening Line
The line on the spread opened up at -9.5 for the Packers.
How the Line Has Moved and Why
The Packers vs Bears spread has since moved to -10.0 for the Green Bay Packers and this could be due to the normal line movement of the public betting on the Packers. It could also be due to the increased likelihood of WR Allen Lazard and OT David Bakhtiari playing.
What Makes the Bet Lose
A bet on the spread of -10.0 would lose if the Packers win the game by nine or less points or if they lose the game. If the Packers win by exactly 10 points, this bet is considered a push.
Total
Opening Line
The opening line for the over/under was 41.5.
How the Line Has Moved and Why
The line has moved to 42.5 as more people are betting the over and is just standard line movement.
What Makes the Bet Lose
If the Packers continue to struggle on offense, this bet loses for an over bettor. If one bets on the under, they will hope the Packer’s struggles continue.
Green Bay Packers Betting Trend to Know
According to Packers stats, they have lost three straight opening week games but have won three straight Week 2 games following.
- Green Bay is 0-1 on the moneyline, the spread, and the over.
- Green Bay is 8-2 against the spread in their last ten games against Chicago.
- The over has hit in five of the last seven games the Packers have played against NFC North teams.
Chicago Bears Season Forecast
With changes to their coaching staff over the summer along with moves like trading Khalil Mack, the Bears season was a big question mark as it is also QB Justin Fields’ second year as the starter.
Looking at the Bears schedule, prior to the season they were projected to finish third in the NFC North division and not make the playoffs. Currently, they are second in the division with a 1-0 record following a shocking win over the 49ers in Week 1.
Moneyline
Opening Line
The opening line for this game had Bears as +360 underdogs on the moneyline.
How the Line Has Moved and Why
The line has not moved yet but could depending on the status of injured players on the Packers.
What Makes the Bet Lose
A moneyline bet on the Bears will lose if the Bears lose the game in any way.
Spread Line
Opening Line
The spread opened with the Bears at +9.5.
How the Line Has Moved and Why
The Packers vs Bears spread has since moved to +10.0 for the Bears due to standard line movement of the public betting the Packers.
What Makes the Bet Lose
This bet loses if the Bears lose by 11 or more points. If the Bears lose by exactly 10 points the bet will be a push/tie.
Total
Opening Line
The opening line for the over/under was 41.5.
How the Line Has Moved and Why
The line has moved to 42.5 as more people are betting the over and is just standard line movement.
What Makes the Bet Lose
This bet loses if the Bears struggle to get things going against a tougher Packers defense.
Chicago Bears Betting Trend to Know
- The Bears are 8-2 in their last 10 games in the month of September.
- The Bears have won just two of their last 10 games against the Packers.
- The total has hit the over in four of the last five road games for Chicago.
Most Profitable Players of this Matchup to Bet On
1. Aaron Rodgers
Following a struggling Week 1 with 195 yards, no touchdowns and one interception which was the worst for QBs according to NFL player stats.
In his career against the Bears, Rodgers is 22-5 and averages 2.3 touchdowns in his career against them. Heading into the game, Rodgers touchdowns over is something to take a look against a team he “owns”.
2. Justin Fields
Despite helping lead his team to victory in Week 1, Justin Fields didn’t have the best game as he threw for 121 yards, two touchdowns, and an interception.
Against the Packers, Fields is 0-2 against the Packers and has thrown a total of three touchdowns and three interceptions in those games.
In his career, Justin Fields has 11 interceptions in 13 games and in a game against a tough defense, taking a look at Fields over .5 interceptions is smart.
3. AJ Dillon
Although Aaron Jones is still considered the RB1 for the Packers, AJ Dillon had 10 rushing attempts along with five receptions for a total of 91 yards on offense in Week 1.
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